Current Affairs Coronavirus Thread - Serious stuff !!!

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That seems like a very high mortality rate. About 1 in 8 die from Covid?


That total infection rate probably only makes up about 10% of those who have actually come into contact with the virus.

I imagine most either:

A. Had no symptoms
B. Had mild symptoms so never got tested
C. The Tories never had the tests available for the general public until about 2 months after it hit the UK

I imagine the true fatality rate is more around 1-2%
 
Hospital figures - 4 is the announced total, one up on yesterday and 2 up on last Monday. 3 were in English hospitals, 2 up on yesterday and one up on last week with 2 occurring in the past 10 days. The 7 day rolling average sits at 6.57

All settings - for the 28 day cut off, the announced total is 4, down 2 on yesterday and up one on last Monday. The 7 day rolling average sits at 9.14

For the 60 day cut off, the announced total is 4, down one on yesterday and up one on last Monday. The 7 day rolling average sits at 17.29

For the legacy, the announced total is 5, 2 down on yesterday and 4 down on last Monday. The 7 day rolling average sits at 56.43
 
That total infection rate probably only makes up about 10% of those who have actually come into contact with the virus.

I imagine most either:

A. Had no symptoms
B. Had mild symptoms so never got tested
C. The Tories never had the tests available for the general public until about 2 months after it hit the UK

I imagine the true fatality rate is more around 1-2%
You imagine a lot.....
lol lol
 
That seems like a very high mortality rate. About 1 in 8 die from Covid?

You have to remember what the testing regime was like early on. Basically, you pretty much only got tested if you were admitted to hospital, or you worked in a hospital. Back then, many people had symptoms, isolated, but were never tested.

According to antibody tests, about 6% of the UK adult population have been infected.

6% of 65 million is 3.9 million, so, based on that,the fatality rate as a percentage, is 100*41k/3900k, so about 1%

There'll be more people died of COVID than 41k, but tops it's about 60k, which'd be about a 1.5% fatality rate. On the flip side, if some people get infected but don't produce antibodies, then that'd lower the fatality rate.
 
You have to remember what the testing regime was like early on. Basically, you pretty much only got tested if you were admitted to hospital, or you worked in a hospital. Back then, many people had symptoms, isolated, but were never tested.

According to antibody tests, about 6% of the UK adult population have been infected.

6% of 65 million is 3.9 million, so, based on that,the fatality rate as a percentage, is 100*41k/3900k, so about 1%

There'll be more people died of COVID than 41k, but tops it's about 60k, which'd be about a 1.5% fatality rate. On the flip side, if some people get infected but don't produce antibodies, then that'd lower the fatality rate.
Cheers. That makes a lot more sense.
 
South Korea on brink of nationwide virus outbreak, officials warn https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-53888219
South Korea, a country held up as a model for its response to Covid-19, is on the brink of a new nationwide outbreak, according to officials. The latest outbreak of coronavirus cases centred around a right-wing Presbyterian church has spread to all 17 provinces throughout the country for the first time. Each day brings a new three digit virus total.
...
The majority of new cases are all close to the heavily populated capital city which is home to more than 10 million people.
And one of the biggest concerns is that many of the far-right worshippers who are potentially infected believe the virus was planted as part of a conspiracy to close it down. Many are refusing to be contacted, let alone tested.

And there is also one other major risk factor. Infected members of the Shincheonji church were mostly young - in their 20s. But the current outbreak is affecting a much older age group. Members of the Sarang Jeil Church, which roughly translates as "Love Comes First", are right-wing conservatives and maintain that President Moon Jae-in is a communist and a puppet of China and North Korea. Before the coronavirus outbreak, they would gather in their hundreds in the centre of Seoul each Saturday loudly rallying and marching past the Blue House to denounce the South Korean leader.
One of the church's pastors, Lee Hae-suk, told my colleagues at Reuters last week - after she tested positive for the virus - that this was a plot to "kill Sarang Jeil Church by increasing the number of confirmed cases". When asked who she thinks is behind the "plot", she said: "Moon Jae-in".
 
First case of Covid-19 reinfection reported by researchers in Hong Kong


Outlier, surely?

Also, the report sort of underlines the findings published in Singapore last week that the virus can and has mutated to a less aggressive form, which is what the "twice infected" patient seems to have experienced.
 
Outlier, surely?

Also, the report sort of underlines the findings published in Singapore last week that the virus can and has mutated to a less aggressive form, which is what the "twice infected" patient seems to have experienced.

Hard to know, so much research is being done on immunity, the current thinking is there is some months of immunity and antibodies before they waine. But then hypothetically there could be a T-cell response here which led to or helped to a second milder version.

Or the the second case may have been a different maybe mutated strain, sounds like it was picked up in a different country if it was diagnosed at the airport, while the original case may have been in Hong Kong, if it has and continues to mutate it will be in the population as common as the flu from now on, in whatever form.

More will likely come out about this. If accurate, it blows a few approaches out of the water like Herd immunity and the Swedish way.
 
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