Current Affairs Coronavirus Thread - Serious stuff !!!

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A few questions I have been ruminating on, if anyone knows the answers or has any input...

Do we have an accurate estimate of the mutation rate of this virus? (Rapid mutation rates render vaccines less effective)

What is the false-positive rate for tests? (Even a small false-positive rate can lead to inexact incidence)

If one has the virus and recovers, are they subsequently immune? (Basic “SIR” models of how fast it can spread—susceptible, infected, recovered—rely on recovereds not being re-infected)
 
A few questions I have been ruminating on, if anyone knows the answers or has any input...

Do we have an accurate estimate of the mutation rate of this virus? (Rapid mutation rates render vaccines less effective)

What is the false-positive rate for tests? (Even a small false-positive rate can lead to inexact incidence)

If one has the virus and recovers, are they subsequently immune? (Basic “SIR” models of how fast it can spread—susceptible, infected, recovered—rely on recovereds not being re-infected)
Er . . . 42 ?
 
A few questions I have been ruminating on, if anyone knows the answers or has any input...

Do we have an accurate estimate of the mutation rate of this virus? (Rapid mutation rates render vaccines less effective)

What is the false-positive rate for tests? (Even a small false-positive rate can lead to inexact incidence)

If one has the virus and recovers, are they subsequently immune? (Basic “SIR” models of how fast it can spread—susceptible, infected, recovered—rely on recovereds not being re-infected)
On the last one


For the 2nd haven’t seen anything but this thread which I don’t think quite answers what you are asking
 
Wow, they've cancelled Indian Wells. (For those of you not familiar with tennis, that's a tournament that's about as big as a non-Grand Slam event gets.)

As far as mutation rate goes, the consensus seems to be that you can't get a good estimate this quickly. I would imagine that estimating the false positive rate faces a similar problem. LabCorp has just gotten into the game and Quest enters tomorrow, so here in the US we're very short on actual field experience with which to figure that out.
 
To sum up the madness.

Over 28000 tested for Corona virus

1% actually have it.

The whole thing is ridiculous now , media not reporting the full facts, every story designed to create panic over nothing.

As I'll keep saying, if this was just described as a flu outbreak noone would have cared.
 
Ban all sporting events NOW!

WTF are this government playing at "requesting" that sports governing bodies "look into the possibility of playing behind closd doors".

BE the Government. ACT to protect people's lives.

Shut down large gatherings wherever they take place.

WTF are you waiting for, you incompetent bunch of clowns?
 
They look after their own, no doubt about it, it's the custodianship of the UK that they couldn't give a flying about, not even on the radar.
We have the very worst government at the very worst time.

Voting Tory at the last election was handing a death sentence out to thousands of people who'll now die because of their failure to act decisively on containment of this virus. They are an ideologically driven bunch of criminals.
 
Ban all sporting events NOW!

WTF are this government playing at "requesting" that sports governing bodies "look into the possibility of playing behind closd doors".

BE the Government. ACT to protect people's lives.

Shut down large gatherings wherever they take place.

WTF are you waiting for, you incompetent bunch of clowns?
Amazed Cheltenham festival is going ahead.
 
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