Current Affairs 2024 POTUS race

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It was purely the wider point. I don’t want to see either Biden nor Trump get back in. Haley will become the first female POTUS in my opinion……just my opinion mind…..
If McConnel and other GOP senators had done their duty rather than play political games they would have convicted Trump for impeachment for Jan 6th and he wouldn't have been able to run in 2024.
 
It was purely the wider point. I don’t want to see either Biden nor Trump get back in. Haley will become the first female POTUS in my opinion……just my opinion mind…..

she will need the rest of the GOP field to clear out, but then as so many of them are spoilers for Trump that will not happen
 
I think some of this reflects a lack of national name recognition of Newsom/Whitmer but there is no guarantee that if they were more widely known they would be liked.

I agree but I like to think if the bus was behind Whitmer, the unknowns would shift further to the left. With Biden and Trump most everyone already knows what to expect. The fact that 12% is still shown as undecided there is what’s glaring to me.
 
Biden needs turnout.
I fear that his handling of Gaza is only doing further damage to his prospects of picking up younger voters.
I'm not sure how much appeal Harris has with people of color but I doubt it's enough.
Biden desperately needs peace in Gaza and then to figure out how to boost turnout.
I think modern polling is less and less relevant.
I also think that the best shot Democrats have is hoping that Trump is still on the ballot next November.
 
Also, Biden needs to be campaigning now.
The Dow is up almost 10,000 points on the day he won the election.
Unemployment is low, pretty much at the same point as before the pandemic
Interest rates and inflation are decreasing slowly but heading in the right direction
Gas prices are stable.
Biden took the reigns of an economic super tanker in Jan 2021 and has steadily turned the ship around.

A lot of Trump supporters tout the economy as the reason to vote for him but I doubt they can cite any plans he has for further improving the economy other than 'drill drill drill'. I guess there isnt a 'racist xenophobe' box on those surveys.

Biden needs to be fighting now. You cant take the moral high ground against a bully like trump.
 
They have the final say on constitutional matters, so I believe they can and will, sadly.
I would think even a strictly non-partisan court would be likely to hold, following United Public Workers v.  Mitchell, that Article II trumps the Tenth and Fourteenth Amendments. Letting state courts make that call in a national election opens a sizable can of worms with respect to other landmark decisions and legislation.

The easiest hole for the Court to swim through is the fact that the presidency isn't enumerated in Section 3 of the Fourteenth Amendment. It's an oversight, because the authors were planning around the aftermath of the Civil War and couldn't conceive of a former Confederate officer or official being a viable candidate for the presidency or vice-presidency. The dissenters will be likely to point this out. However, it gets the majority out of Dodge without having to revisit precedent, and in a way that doesn't create precedent for other legal issues.

It's the cleanest way for the Court to make the problem go away in a manner that doesn't affect the agendas of the various justices, and that might get better than a 6-3 partisan vote. Roberts will want that result if at all possible.

If McConnel and other GOP senators had done their duty rather than play political games they would have convicted Trump for impeachment for Jan 6th and he wouldn't have been able to run in 2024.
Impeachment has become a political tool, and nothing more. The days of senators like Howard Baker are long past.

The big question is what happens when everything is out on the table. Should Jack Smith secure a conviction on the classified documents case after the non-MAGA crowd sees how bad that one is, the game may change. There really isn't any telling.
 
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