I find politics fascinating and I was gripped by the Obama vs McCain 2008 race . Since then there have been twists and turns but this race with Biden quitting halfway through and the machinations behind it plus the general battle with Trump and like you said his race to the bottom has been just as fascinating.
I only put that into the context of why gender was not in quotes, yet race was in quotes.
It’s something like less than 0.5% isn’t it ? Mad
Sure, but either way, why do you think it’s an issue? I’m just curious. I think it's been mentioned before as well.
Well, for starters, we've never had a woman president. One could argue that the election of a black man after 200 years was the catalyst for Trumpism. So there's that.
I think it comes down to the net impact. Does the boost she gets from women voters offset the counter she’ll see from other demos? I think the #s suggest that answer is yes, but it probably depends on where you look. I just haven’t seen anything that suggests it’s going to be a deciding factor beyond people saying it’s a thing.
I hope you're right
It's not a close election, Polymarket tells a very different story. It's only made close by the media and the polling companies to create hype and attention for this election. If the forecasts were to show a blowout, that would not generate any clicks or interests, thus killing legacy media's business.
Polymarket has it 52-46 in favour of Trump.
