Current Affairs 2024 POTUS race

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giphy.webp
 
So because he nailed both 2020 election and 2022 midterms he is now a guru?

Using early voting records to analyze doesn't ever work and clearly this guy isn't aware of it. Democrats disproportionately always favor early mail-in voting whilst Republicans more likely to vote on the day. In fact, Biden led by a margin of 9-1 in most states when it came to absentee ballots in 2020 so this year, the enthusiasm is much lower for Kamala.

Trump is currently leading on Polymarket by a margin of 6% for winning Pennsylvania. He is ahead in most of the recent polls in Pennsylvania. He is currently tied on the RCP average, keeping in mind Trump always get underestimated. Trump has gained support amongst latinos, muslims, jews, african-american men whilst strengthening his support with the white working class voters. This clown you quoted also happened to say the growing African-American electorate in PA but failed to mention that Trump's support with the African-American male community is through the roof.

One of the biggest Philly newspapers literally said Trump is gaining loads of voters with the working class voters in Philadelphia:


So how does Kamala exactly win PA?

The fact that he thinks Florida can flip, means he is not to be taken seriously. There's more of a chance New Mexico flipping for Trump than Florida going for Kamala.
Andrew Tate, Elon Musk and Trump - strange
 
To me, the Harris team's insistence she needs to blitz the airwaves suggests they feel she's trailing in the race.
 
Or it’s one month to Election Day and there’s no point sitting on a pot of gold?

Well, from what's been reported of her interviews so far she's merely had the effect of coming across vague on Netanyahu and on her plus to get higher taxes from the rich through Congress.

I'm not sure she's a great tv performer and so that pot of gold wont do much good.
 
Talking about Musk, his America PAC is now paying $47 per referred voter to register for Republicans in swing states I believe, seems quite manipulative but I imagine that's gonna have a massive impact on the election.
That's legal?! Wow
Could a billionaire democrat not do the same to counter it?
 
Talking about Musk, his America PAC is now paying $47 per referred voter to register for Republicans in swing states I believe, seems quite manipulative but I imagine that's gonna have a massive impact on the election.
18 U.S. Code § 597 - Expenditures to influence voting

Whoever makes or offers to make an expenditure to any person, either to vote or withhold his vote, or to vote for or against any candidate; and

Whoever solicits, accepts, or receives any such expenditure in consideration of his vote or the withholding of his vote—

Shall be fined under this title or imprisoned not more than one year, or both; and if the violation was willful, shall be fined under this title or imprisoned not more than two years, or both.
(June 25, 1948, ch. 645, 62 Stat. 721; Pub. L. 103–322, title XXXIII, § 330016(1)(H), Sept. 13, 1994, 108 Stat. 2147; Pub. L. 104–294, title VI, § 601(a)(12), Oct. 11, 1996, 110 Stat. 3498.)

------------'

I'm sure the argument would be that paying people to get others to register isn't the same thing, even though it totally is.
 
That's legal?! Wow
Could a billionaire democrat not do the same to counter it?
Yes I believe it's legal because they're paying the person who makes the reference rather than the registered voter & yes I'd imagine a Democrat could do the same scheme I suppose. I saw today the Pennsylvania registration numbers came out and Republicans are registering at a 2:1 ratio currently. I would imagine with Elon's PAC that could intensify that ratio even more, which is crazy for a state which was only decided by 80,000 votes in 2020.

I also did visit Pennsylvania on holiday two weeks ago in Pittsburgh and from the areas I saw Carrick and Brentwood mainly there were not many Harris signs at all. It does look a bit concerning for Democrats atm because from my understanding Pittsburgh (Allegheny County) is one of the strongest Democrat areas of Pennsylvania and I didn't really see any enthusiasm in the week I was there. I will say to be fair that I spent much more time in downtown and only saw a small glimpse of the residential areas.
 
If you could point me to an actual report from the Committee, I'd like to see it. All I can quickly find is testimony to the committee from FAIR that estimates $150B in expenses from federal, state, and local governments. That estimate is reached, in part, due to an estimate of population that is 25-30% above the most commonly accepted figures.

It's worth mentioning FAIR was established by a white nationalist and anti-immigration activist and is classified as a hate group by the Southern Poverty Law Center.

The studies by FAIR are pretty bad. I just read through part of their recent one where they talk about the "drain" on education, and they seem to have just made up some numbers regarding how many children are in school who's parents are illegals. I went from report to report and didn't find how they calculate that one number that they claim as fact.

Other critical analyses of their previous reports also exist, and the criticisms leveled at their 2017 report appear to have not gone unanswered in their 2024 report.

 
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