So because he nailed both 2020 election and 2022 midterms he is now a guru?
Using early voting records to analyze doesn't ever work and clearly this guy isn't aware of it. Democrats disproportionately always favor early mail-in voting whilst Republicans more likely to vote on the day. In fact, Biden led by a margin of 9-1 in most states when it came to absentee ballots in 2020 so this year, the enthusiasm is much lower for Kamala.
Trump is currently leading on Polymarket by a margin of 6% for winning Pennsylvania. He is ahead in most of the recent polls in Pennsylvania. He is currently tied on the RCP average, keeping in mind Trump always get underestimated. Trump has gained support amongst latinos, muslims, jews, african-american men whilst strengthening his support with the white working class voters. This clown you quoted also happened to say the growing African-American electorate in PA but failed to mention that Trump's support with the African-American male community is through the roof.
One of the biggest Philly newspapers literally said Trump is gaining loads of voters with the working class voters in Philadelphia:
The trend could be a problem for Kamala Harris in Pennsylvania, where Joe Biden beat Donald Trump in 2020 by just 80,000 votes.
www.inquirer.com
So how does Kamala exactly win PA?
The fact that he thinks Florida can flip, means he is not to be taken seriously. There's more of a chance New Mexico flipping for Trump than Florida going for Kamala.