Current Affairs 2024 POTUS race

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From today's NYT:

Labash Harris did very well tonight — arguably her best performance. Democrats threw a largely seamless convention. Confidence is good. But overconfidence leads to reality denial. Here’s the truth: Harris is still behind in five out of seven swing states. So Democrats shouldn’t unlace those hiking boots until they’ve actually summited Mount Comeback.

Is this true? Thought she'd caught up with or passed Trump in those states except for Georgia.
The polling is all over the place right now. And i think there's a lag. All the momentum has been behind Kamala since essentially the instant Biden dropped out.

And Trump has done himself even less favors than usual in the period of time since
 
I think dyslexicbleu probably does believe the nonsense he types.
I think Dave watches American politics and thinks about what controversial take he can post in GOT.

Newsom would have been a terrible pick because it would have meant what you watched over the last four days would have been a humiliating food fight.
Once Biden endorsed his VP that was it.
And it's great that the party so quickly fell in step behind her.
Some sort of flash primary would have torn the party to bits.
Removing Biden wasnt about failed policies or corruption, it was simply age related so there was no reason not to choose his VP.

She did great last night. It's a convention acceptance speech. She didnt need to get in to the weeds of policy.
And she threaded the needle well with regards to thorny issues.
I've come to this conclusion as well.

His takes in the American politics threads are not even in the same universe of bad takes as in the Everton threads. At least in a decent amount of occasions he's hit the mark over there, even if sometimes he's way off the mark.

Here, his takes are about the same as if he were breaking down American football game film
 
From today's NYT:

Labash Harris did very well tonight — arguably her best performance. Democrats threw a largely seamless convention. Confidence is good. But overconfidence leads to reality denial. Here’s the truth: Harris is still behind in five out of seven swing states. So Democrats shouldn’t unlace those hiking boots until they’ve actually summited Mount Comeback.

Is this true? Thought she'd caught up with or passed Trump in those states except for Georgia.

The circus is over (both of them) and the next two months will be drilling down on policy (plus the nonsensical 'weird' v 'communist' trading in insults).

But in the end it's always about "the economy stupid". And a lot of Americans dont feel the benefit of Bidenomics.

Most commentators dont believe there's going to be a recession in the US this year, but they do expect a slow down of economic momentum - continuing what's happened so far this year - into Q3 and Q4. The economic figures will be hotly contested and highly politicised when they're released

Away fro all the personality stuff thats what will determine who wins: who manages to make the best story out of those figures.
 
But if he's 'weird' himself where is the political pay off of calling others 'weird'?

It's daft. Playground stuff.
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Agreed. More being pedantic because so many (not necessarily here) have assumed the term means Gus is non-verbal. I don't believe NVLD is even in the DSM-5
Yeah these conditions are still new to the public relatively. I found when going through the education system. Autism was poorly understood even with educators.

Glad you shared, always good to spread this information. It was great seeing the overwhelming pride Gus showed towards his Dad and shows the bond they have. Something Trump and Vance seem incapable of.
 
It will be down to voter turn out.

We know the cult will turn out.
Can we get the younger and black voters out in the swing states?
Early voting will be key for democrats. Get that vote banked to avoid problems on election day with long lines, running out of ballots (but some how only in dem precincts), bad weather, etc.

Really hope a good hunk of the money Harris is raising is going to grass roots "get out the vote" as well as to monitor for voter suppression. I know she already has developed a stable of lawyers, including Marc Elias, specifically for the post election GOP shenanigans.
 
It will be down to voter turn out.

We know the cult will turn out.
Can we get the younger and black voters out in the swing states?
Early voting will be key for democrats. Get that vote banked to avoid problems on election day with long lines, running out of ballots (but some how only in dem precincts), bad weather, etc.

Really hope a good hunk of the money Harris is raising is going to grass roots "get out the vote" as well as to monitor for voter suppression. I know she already has developed a stable of lawyers, including Marc Elias, specifically for the post election GOP shenanigans.

Yep, modern American politics focuses on a half dozen or so states and this cycle will be the same. Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Georgia, Arizona, Colorado... did I miss any?
 
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