This.
1 million times this. I can anecdotally report the Dem field office here in my city is packed to the rafters every day with volunteers and cannot keep yard signs in stock.
Current Affairs 2024 POTUS race
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1 million times this. I can anecdotally report the Dem field office here in my city is packed to the rafters every day with volunteers and cannot keep yard signs in stock.
Nevada, North Carolina...
This is for the POTUS race. Heavy turnout may not swing a state like mine but it could very well make a difference in a few Congressional races here and, God willing, the Senate race.
Big turnout in all states is important long term but ultimately my vote and yours don't really count. I'll still be in line early.
Damo_1878
Don't care. Not bothered.
@LinekersLegs @RAFUH the comment of "country first, party second" is a repeat of what Keir Starmer and company were saying prior to the last election. Which is an important message
People were angry about the corruption (e.g. COVID PPE VIP lane etc) and wanted public servants to start prioritising public service again
Look at the message of that versus the message of Trump, and what he is all about
'Country first, party second' - Starmer sets out Labour's vision
The Labour leader has given his first major speech of the general election campaign.
www.bbc.co.uk
She also gets my non-American "vote" as she's a NATO supporter. Big tick from me.
Re this last bit about money for grass roots / get out the vote - something I heard on MSNBC last evening was that the Harris campaign has already designated / committed to spend more on just that area than Trump has raised in total, or something like that.
The general economy is not the same as the stock market but they are not entirely separate either.
One of the things I think the Trump campaign is doing smartly is setting him up with non traditional interviews to target demographics that might be receptive (young men seems to be a particular one they are going for).
So really like this idea
So really like this idea
@LinekersLegs & @BlueTX (& any other ITK's over there): I've heard often enough in years gone by that we shouldn't take any notice of polls till after your Labor Day. But which of the myriad organisations should we take real notice of? I'm only interested in swing state pollng. Is the NYT / Sienna poll reliable?
Tbh polling in recent years has got far more difficult as the voter base has got far more diverse so the same strategies that worked for an older/whiter pool no longer do.
NYT Sienna is generally very good and I love their vopen data but they have had their face-plants too.
Personally I rely on the average of all of them and remember that a) the trend is your friend until it isn’t b) there is always a margin of error even in the best conducted poll.
Election 2024 Polls: Harris vs. Trump (Published 2025)
Our polling averages track the latest trends in the presidential race, using data from national and battleground state polls.
Edit I used to rely on RCP for my averages but in recent years they seem to have tried to put their thumb on the scale by including some very dodgy polls at equal weight.
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A least more people heard her message, let us just hope they were receptive to it.
Walz absolutely has to be the guest analyst for a College Gameday set.
I'm sure there are other big games Sept 21, but an early look at the schedules barring a catastrophe Minnesota and Iowa are hopefully undefeated when they play and ESPN can legitimately put Gameday there, with Walz there picking the games.
Would be amazing
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