Current Affairs 2024 POTUS race

[davek]

 

[BlueTX]

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What were the UK betting odds on the US Presidential Election Winner on July 3, 2016?

 

[davek]

What were the UK betting odds on the US Presidential Election Winner on July 3, 2016?

No idea. But the writing looks on the wall now for Biden...and the Democratic Party if they dont ditch Biden.

 

[BlueTX]

No idea. But the writing looks on the wall now for Biden...and the Democratic Party if they dont ditch Biden.

They were approximately 80% odds Hillary Clinton would win.

 

[davek]

They were approximately 80% odds Hillary Clinton would win.

Ok. But Trump was an insurgent and with a lot of track ahead of him. Biden is the all too familiar incumbent who's lost the plot. His stock is only going in one direction.

 

[BlueTX]

Ok. But Trump was an insurgent and with a lot of track ahead of him. Biden is the all too familiar incumbent who's lost the plot. His stock is only going in one direction.

The point is, that making pronouncements in early July as to how the race will end up is guesswork.

 

[BlueTX]

 

[davek]

The point is, that making pronouncements in early July as to how the race will end up is guesswork.

Yes, it is tbf.

But my point is that a dark horse can make up a lot of ground and get ahead of the field. Biden is a known quantity, and the likelihood is he;ll make error after error in an election campaign and a candidate already down in the polls will haemorrhage votes even more as 5 November looms large.

 

[davek]

 

[Prevenger17]

Trump is a paedophile? Colour me shocked

 

[Walken]

Not to mention he has and would continue to surround himself with advisors/experts who are both competent and civic-minded.

Trump hasn't shown this ability in his personal life, business life, or as POTUS.

Which should be the defining factor in Bidens case in comparison to trump, it's probably the most significant reason he has ran an administration that has been a success on a number of levels.

 

[TN Toffee]

Not to mention he has and would continue to surround himself with advisors/experts who are both competent and civic-minded.

Trump hasn't shown this ability in his personal life, business life, or as POTUS.

At least during his first term there was some thin facade of trying to appoint some qualified people around him. Hardly any of his initial appointees were still there at the end. The turnover was unprecedented.

There will be no thin facade in a second term. Absolute loyalty to Dear Leader will be the only qualification.

 

[BlueTX]

At least during his first term there was some thin facade of trying to appoint some qualified people around him. Hardly any of his initial appointees were still there at the end. The turnover was unprecedented.

There will be no thin facade in a second term. Absolute loyalty to Dear Leader will be the only qualification.

Apparently within a great lot of civil service, too. Project 2025 calls for the replacement of 50,000 bureaucrats whose disqualifying sins could be as little as making a donation to the DNC. These will be replaced by sufficiently supplicant (read, not necessarily qualified) Trumpers.

 

[Nightman]

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Came on here to talk about this as just saw the price on the exchange.

It's pretty clear that Biden will end up being a non-runner.

Even after the debate last week, he was trading around 5/2, 3/1, so I expect some people know something and have layed accordingly.

 

[davek]

Came on here to talk about this as just saw the price on the exchange.

It's pretty clear that Biden will end up being a non-runner.

Even after the debate last week, he was trading around 5/2, 3/1, so I expect some people know something and have layed accordingly.

Pretty much a license to print money those odds.