The Tory vote went back to what it was in 2010 but Labour has increased by 5 000 between 2010 and now. Very promising for Labour - getting out some of the no voters will hold them in good stead in marginals.
I'm still definitely of the opinion that's it's more likely that the exit poll is right. But that Sunderland one was 8 points off the exit poll forecast, and actually didn't even get the swing in the right direction.
As I've said we need a marginal, and a non london one probably, I'm thinking Nuneaton should be due soon.