Current Affairs 2017 General Election

[TheBlueGibbon]

I'm still definitely of the opinion that's it's more likely that the exit poll is right. But that Sunderland one was 8 points off the exit poll forecast, and actually didn't even get the swing in the right direction.

As I've said we need a marginal, and a non london one probably, I'm thinking Nuneaton should be due soon.

Apparently regional polling has shown a larger swing to the Tories than the rest of the country, so the exit poll could still be correct.

 

[Bluerover]

I'm still definitely of the opinion that's it's more likely that the exit poll is right. But that Sunderland one was 8 points off the exit poll forecast, and actually didn't even get the swing in the right direction.

As I've said we need a marginal, and a non london one probably, I'm thinking Nuneaton should be due soon.

If it is true that the exit poll excludes postal votes, and if that is as high as 17% as I have seen somewhere, then that is not good for Labour. Most of those will be police, armed forces and older voters who will tend to be more Tory than Labour - I think??

Maybe someone can tell me this is not the case in any of those suppositions??? I don't know!

 

[tsubaki]

Turnout looks like its going to be very healthy. Good day for democracy.

This, really. Whatever result Corbyn ends up with at this election, he should be congratulated for going beyond the small patch of voters that have been fought over these past twenty years.

 

[nsno-chris]

Lol

Amber Rudd may lose her seat

 

[orly]

If Cambridge is a 'squeaky hold' - that's a worry. 135th safest seat.

 

[TheBlueGibbon]

Amber Rudd allegedly refusing to give any interviews.

 

[kenada_blue]

If it is true that the exit poll excludes postal votes, and if that is as high as 17% as I have seen somewhere, then that is not good for Labour. Most of those will be police, armed forces and older voters who will tend to be more Tory than Labour - I think??

Maybe someone can tell me this is not the case in any of those suppositions??? I don't know!

I don't think it does as it's taken from on the street voters.

 

[arminisgod]

If Cambridge is a 'squeaky hold' - that's a worry. 135th safest seat.

why? it had the highest rate of remainers going. that was always going to be tight with the lib dems

 

[hibbo'sclass]

Sophie Raworth, Emily Maitliss and xhamster.
Who says politics is boring?

 

[dandydan]

A big matter that I get the impression of is an increase in working class votes jumping from UKIP to Tory solely down to Brexit.

A lot of UKIP voters in 2015 were former Labour voters a Labour leader that was committed to brexit might have won some back.

 

[orchard]

How many Labour seats voted leave? How many votes lost tonight because of it?

Pray tell. Rightly or wrongly, we voted leave as a nation.

 

[ToffeeTim]

Amber Rudd allegedly refusing to give any interviews.

She's just buried her father apparently.

 

[Bluerover]

She will be given the opportunity to form a government (if she doesn't resign first). That will fail. Corbyn will then be asked, and that will fail too.

Then we have another election.

....provided that no one can negotiate sufficient support from other parties to get over the line.

Lib Dem senior is ruling out any deals or coalition so that takes a lot of seats out if they hold to this position and in the event of a hung parliament would make another election more likely. See my earlier post on the various options

 

[edge]

A big matter that I get the impression of is an increase in working class votes jumping from UKIP to Tory solely down to Brexit.

not true here mate. I know loads that voted for Brexit but nearly all have voted Labour like myself.
if its like that elsewhere labour will get as more of its voters back.

 

[hullefc]

This, really. Whatever result Corbyn ends up with at this election, he should be congratulated for going beyond the small patch of voters that have been fought over these past twenty years.

Will remain leader and put the likes of the Welsh windbag Kinnocks, Hilary and the Eagle's of this world on the spot if they attempt to launch a disruptive influence.