Current Affairs 2017 General Election

[Blue Cally]

Everyone get of your backsides and Vote Labour! We can't have them stuck up tories in, everyone will regret it!!!

 

[orly]

Potential long-odds value play here

YouGov voting intentions

View attachment 37488


http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/orderedseats.html It's the 9th least-safe Tory seat on this list

It's 40/1 in lots of places for a bet that Labour will win.

Again, this is a value bet, just seems that 40/1 is a bit mad for a seat that polling intentions are that close in, should probably be a quarter of that. The range is massive though on the high / low, potentially you could get 36% / 50% here

Odds have been cut in half for this today

 

[Donald Twain]

Queues being reported around the country , get on to ya family and friends , knock on doors and offer old folks lifts anything ! PLEASE VOTE!

 

[roydo]

Queues.

 

[hullefc]

Its a fact that he has visited certain places at the behest/request of certain known (and banned) terror groups.

Which places did he visit at the 'behest/request of certain known (and banned) terror groups, and which groups are they?

 

[orly]

Queues.

Interestingly, this hasn't translated into a spike in expected Register voter turnout, which is joint favs 60-65% and 65.01%-70

Historically

http://www.ukpolitical.info/Turnout45.htm

Pretty low, potentially less that 2015

 

[Donald Twain]

Queues.

Tory!

 

[Gwladysstreetlad]

The problem with letting 16 year olds vote is were you draw the line. If 16 is ok why not let 15 year old vote or even 14?

Besides, the 18-24 age group is notoriously always the lowest turnout and I can't imagine loads of 16 years would be that desperate to vote anyway. I would of been at that ages and I'm sure a few others would to but we'd defiantly be in the minority.

 

[Toast]

Odds have been cut in half for this today

Ive done labour under 206.5 seats.
Think I've misjudged it a little.

 

[Moomin]

Interestingly, this hasn't translated into a spike in expected Register voter turnout, which is joint favs 60-65% and 65.01%-70

Historically

http://www.ukpolitical.info/Turnout45.htm

Pretty low, potentially less that 2015

I've backed 70-75% 5-1

 

[orly]

Ive done labour under 206.5 seats.
Think I've misjudged it a little.

A month ago I thought a line roughly 40 less than that was generous, you could have had +/- 132.5 5/6 as your line seats with SkyBet at one point

 

[AndyC]

Tory!

????

 

[orly]

Tory!

Big call that Donald, not sure it's very nice

 

[orly]

I've backed 70-75% 5-1

For me, if that gets to top end of bracket, (73.5-75) Tory majority is less than 50

Betfair has a hefty move now for 50-75 Cons Majority. Lower end of that and May will be over the coals

Only thing is, EU Ref turnout was 72.2% Beating that would be remarkable.

 

[zzr45]

It should be legal to kick people to death for taking a picture of their dog at a polling station.