Current Affairs 2017 General Election

2017 general election

  • Lib Dems

    Votes: 24 6.5%
  • Labour

    Votes: 264 71.0%
  • Tories

    Votes: 41 11.0%
  • Cheese on the ballot paper

    Votes: 35 9.4%
  • SNP

    Votes: 4 1.1%
  • Plaid Cymru

    Votes: 4 1.1%

  • Total voters
    372
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The polls are weighted heavily against the LP (for the good historical reason that the Tories get their core demographic vote out and Labour haven't in the recent past). The fieldwork itself does not show up as given and these polls add on about 4% on average to the Tory total.

The intriguing thing on Thursday will be whether these historical norm holds true or not. If they dont this could well yet be a hung parliament.

Even if it is there will be a fairly modest Tory majority and they will limp into the next parliament having a wounded leader and a reinvigorated LP at their heels.

May's call to go for an election has backfired massively.
 
The polls are weighted heavily against the LP (for the good historical reason that the Tories get their core demographic vote out and Labour haven't in the recent past). The fieldwork itself does not show up as given and these polls add on about 4% on average to the Tory total.

The intriguing thing on Thursday will be whether these historical norm holds true or not. If they dont this could well yet be a hung parliament.

Even if it isn't there will be a fairly modest Tory majority and they will limp into the next parliament having a wounded leader and an reinvigorated LP at their heels.

May's call to go for an election has backfired massively.
I'm still hoping the youth turnout is high as it will make a massive difference.
 
I'm still hoping the youth turnout is high as it will make a massive difference.
Should be higher than usual. Loads have registered in the wake of the referendum and still more since the start of this campaign. I also think the Tories will fail to energise an older constituency that they aim to squeeze cash out of. Those two facts HAVE to have an effect. It'll be a Tory majority but a small one and the government will be weakened and then bludgeoned by the Brexit disaster which they'll emerge with.

This will be the last Tory government for about a decade I'd imagine.
 
The polls are weighted heavily against the LP (for the good historical reason that the Tories get their core demographic vote out and Labour haven't in the recent past). The fieldwork itself does not show up as given and these polls add on about 4% on average to the Tory total.

The intriguing thing on Thursday will be whether these historical norm holds true or not. If they dont this could well yet be a hung parliament.

Even if it is there will be a fairly modest Tory majority and they will limp into the next parliament having a wounded leader and a reinvigorated LP at their heels.

May's call to go for an election has backfired massively.

Is that true? That wasn't the case for Milliband?
 
The polls are weighted heavily against the LP (for the good historical reason that the Tories get their core demographic vote out and Labour haven't in the recent past). The fieldwork itself does not show up as given and these polls add on about 4% on average to the Tory total.

The intriguing thing on Thursday will be whether these historical norm holds true or not. If they dont this could well yet be a hung parliament.

Even if it is there will be a fairly modest Tory majority and they will limp into the next parliament having a wounded leader and a reinvigorated LP at their heels.

May's call to go for an election has backfired massively.

And if we get a hung parliament, then at least we should be able to hope that the Brexit negotiations will be held with the EU in a less belligerent manner than it seems May and the current regime seem to favour.

A hung parliament would surely see changes to the negotiating team, Johnson would immediately be jettisoned, and that would cool some of the gung-ho rhetoric.
 
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