evilwebby
Player Valuation: £50m
I think the Cons have been in that bracket for about 2 weeks mate. It's actually been quite stable.
Essentially Labour have clawed back at the deficit, but not in a pronounced way.
11/4 looks a really good value bet if you are that way inclined. I took Labour more seats than 196 a couple of weeks back, which looks fairly solid to me as well.
I trade the market so know the price movements as well as anyone. The Cons shortened in to 1.37 when the Yougov MRP forecast was released, but then drifted up to 1.57 in the week after that as Lab narrowed the gap. However, the price has shortened in again in the last few days, presumeably as Lab's progress has halted and the polling gap has held steady. By contrast Lab's price has traded as low as 28 but now drifted up to 44, reflecting the Con's shortening price.
Lab >196 looks a good bet now after their vote has firmed up. Current betting has their seat total about 215-220.