Current Affairs The 2020 United States Presidential Election

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In an election of many firsts, it appears that surging youth turnout in a number of key states may have helped propel Joe Biden to victory.

Analysis suggests an increase of as much as 10% in youth voter turnout – with particularly high engagement in 11 key battleground states. That may have been game-changing for Joe Biden, who had the support of 61% of people aged 18-29.



Meanwhile, Justice Democrats and the Sunrise Movement commissioned an analysis of Democrats in swing districts who won and lost races, and it found that, in fact, supporters of Medicare for All did just fine relative to centrists. In fact, Democratic vote share declined for candidates the further they moved to the right.
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:rolleyes:


Correlation =/= causality.

Most likely, the candidates that moved furthest right were running in comparatively conservative swing districts, and should be expected to get a lesser vote share.

Even if proper controls enabled us to conclude that ideology was causal, to my eyeball it likely had a very weak effect.
 
Correlation =/= causality.

Most likely, the candidates that moved furthest right were running in comparatively conservative swing districts, and should be expected to get a lesser vote share.

Even if proper controls enabled us to conclude that ideology was causal, to my eyeball it likely had a very weak effect.

It shows there is no consistent correlation between 'progressive' rhetoric or fielding 'progressive' candidates in swing districts, and losing swing districts, contrary to what the Party is claiming in its eternal attempt to marginalise and shame the left.
 
Trump is cutting a deal here: "I'll go peacefully if you promise not to indict me".
He doesn’t have the leverage for that tbh.

Be clear - this is not a contested election. Biden’s margin in the states that swung the election is nearly three times what Trump’s was in 2016.

They’ve won 0 out of 10 court cases post-election, and even if they’d won ALL TEN, it wouldn’t have come close to overturning the election result.
 
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