Current Affairs Joe Biden POTUS #46

[BlueTX]

Trump will simply point out Harris' issues and the likelihood of her being President by default if/when "Sleepy Joe" dies. And she as a character is a bit of a firebrand and will double down on her radicalism when challenged.

It's one of several reasons why I can see easy Trump inroads into Bidens current lead.

Trump doesn't "simply" do anything. He throws bombs. He cannot restrain himself, as we've already seen since yesterday afternoon. For a country desperate for leadership/consistency/competency this is a very tired look from a very tired, old man who looks worse and worse each time he goes in front of a camera.

Talking smack about Biden's health is pure projection.

Kamala Harris is seen as a "radical" only by those who were already going to vote for the current Administration. "Nasty woman" who is a "radical leftist" is not a winning strategy to bring back those who already laid a heavy judgment on him in 2018 or inspire new voters to his cause in the midst of a pandemic and economic catastrophe. Especially given it is so easily refuted.

 

[catcherintherye]

She's an extremely easy target. Especially as Biden dying in office is not a mild possibility.

I honestly think that VP pick has hurt his chances, but that said I don't think he could have reasonably picked anyone else either. He was on a hiding to nothing with it.

The polls seemed to have levelled out at around an 8-9 point gap with Trump at his weakest conceivable position. I think Biden edges it still but Trump will surge back, especially if the US coronavirus spike levels out and miraculously there's no second wave - a V shaped recession would help Trump enormously.

I'll be frank, I think these attack lines look quite desperate. She was a prosecutor, and a very competent one at that. And ultimately, people will see Biden, a fairly centrist, white old man and it will be harder to make things stick.

The V shaped recovery is very unlikely, and in honesty it will not be in place by November. He has to hope disposable income remains fairly strong.

I would also be cautious about it being Trumps weakest position and him definitely surging. He could get weaker, and he could surge, neither are guaranteed.

Theres been a slight narrowing of polls, mainly because hes kept his gob relatively shut, cut the audacious stuff and acted as an incumbent. If he does this, and can chip away 2 more points at the lead in a month it gets a bit more interesting. However he has to start clawing things back now, or he is dead and buried.

A poll out tonight has him behind 16 points. If that is anywhere near true, forget not losing, he will be on course for one of the biggest defeats in decades.

He still has a chance, but is a massive underdog really. Its Bidens to lose.

 

[catcherintherye]

Trump will simply point out Harris' issues and the likelihood of her being President by default if/when "Sleepy Joe" dies. And she as a character is a bit of a firebrand and will double down on her radicalism when challenged.

It's one of several reasons why I can see easy Trump inroads into Bidens current lead.

The sleepy Joe thing hasnt cut at all though. And in all honesty people wont really buy Harris as some massive firebrand (she isnt). Shes a woman who has imprisoned multiple people of colour. They'll give it a go, but it's a real stretch.

 

[Death]

And/or learning something.

Either way, hell no! Amirite matey?

Oh no, on contrary I am going for my degree in kids rubbing elderly men’s legs in swimming pools and ‘the thing’. I’m versed in the Biden vids.

Just can’t handle it tonight.

 

[catcherintherye]

Trump doesn't "simply" do anything. He throws bombs. He cannot restrain himself, as we've already seen since yesterday afternoon. For a country desperate for leadership/consistency/competency this is a very tired look from a very tired, old man who looks worse and worse each time he goes in front of a camera.

Talking smack about Biden's health is pure projection.

Kamala Harris is seen as a "radical" only by those who were already going to vote for the current Administration. "Nasty woman" who is a "radical leftist" is not a winning strategy to bring back those who already laid a heavy judgment on him in 2018 or inspire new voters to his cause in the midst of a pandemic and economic catastrophe. Especially given it is so easily refuted.

His throwing bombs is a big problem too. Hes been quieter of late and eaten into the lead. I'm not sure he can incumbent his way to victory though.

As for Harris, they wont see a radical, as shes not a radical. Shes a prosecutor who's specialised in sending lots of black people to jail. They are going to struggle to paint her as a radical, and outside of their base it will fall flat.

They seem to be adopting the anti-Obama/Clinton playbook. I suspect this will be a big mistake.

 

[BirkenheadBlue]

I’m old enough to remember when Death at least pretended to be a serious poster.

 

[orly]

I'll be frank, I think these attack lines look quite desperate. She was a prosecutor, and a very competent one at that. And ultimately, people will see Biden, a fairly centrist, white old man and it will be harder to make things stick.

The V shaped recovery is very unlikely, and in honesty it will not be in place by November. He has to hope disposable income remains fairly strong.

I would also be cautious about it being Trumps weakest position and him definitely surging. He could get weaker, and he could surge, neither are guaranteed.

Theres been a slight narrowing of polls, mainly because hes kept his gob relatively shut, cut the audacious stuff and acted as an incumbent. If he does this, and can chip away 2 more points at the lead in a month it gets a bit more interesting. However he has to start clawing things back now, or he is dead and buried.

A poll out tonight has him behind 16 points. If that is anywhere near true, forget not losing, he will be on course for one of the biggest defeats in decades.

He still has a chance, but is a massive underdog really. Its Bidens to lose.

lol

Classic Catcher this. Pick one ffs.

 

[LinekersLegs]

Trump will simply point out Harris' issues and the likelihood of her being President by default if/when "Sleepy Joe" dies. And she as a character is a bit of a firebrand and will double down on her radicalism when challenged.

It's one of several reasons why I can see easy Trump inroads into Bidens current lead.

Was always going to tighten when it moved from amorphous “Demoncrat nominees“ to a confirmed ticket - the same would have occurred due to polarization at least whoever was picked.

I don’t see “Firebrand“ as an issue - VPs have usually been the designated hitter whilst the top of the ticker brings the sunshine and hope. Mike Pence is dull as dishwater but was picked to balance Trump‘s incandescent rhetoric. Think ”radicalism“ is a tad ott, Pence despite his plainness is probably further to the political extremes of US politics than Harris has been.

 

[Prevenger17]

The sleepy Joe thing hasnt cut at all though.

I think he's got to paint Biden with a different brush if he's going that route. Trump is so obviously senile himself it just comes off as headshakingly un-self aware.

 

[catcherintherye]

lol

Classic Catcher this. Pick one ffs.

I'm trying to be diplomatic here!

I think Biden wins. Trump closes the gap but not enough.

And there is absolutely I chance of a V shaped recovery by November.

 

[catcherintherye]

I think he's got to paint Biden with a different brush if he's going that route. Trump is so obviously senile himself it just comes off as headshakingly un-self aware.

His attacks on Clinton worked. That's how he won. Sleepy Joe Biden just doesnt have the same ring to it.

 

[orly]

His throwing bombs is a big problem too. Hes been quieter of late and eaten into the lead. I'm not sure he can incumbent his way to victory though.

As for Harris, they wont see a radical, as shes not a radical. Shes a prosecutor who's specialised in sending lots of black people to jail. They are going to struggle to paint her as a radical, and outside of their base it will fall flat.

They seem to be adopting the anti-Obama/Clinton playbook. I suspect this will be a big mistake.

The Trump camp did this and overturned most Electoral College betting handicaps across the board in 2016, so you could say it wasn't that big a mistake.

I love GrandOldTeam.com. it is the greatest website in the whole world. I align with 90% of the political persuasion on here I would have thought. But my god do our Election predictions since 2007 tend to have fallen on the wrong side of the final outcome.

 

[Prevenger17]

I'm trying to be diplomatic here!

That's not how we do things around here

 

[catcherintherye]

The Trump camp did this and overturned most Electoral College betting handicaps across the board in 2016, so you could say it wasn't that big a mistake.

I love GrandOldTeam.com. it is the greatest website in the whole world. I align with 90% of the political persuasion on here I would have thought. But my god do our Election predictions since 2007 tend to have fallen on the wrong side of the final outcome.

Haha, I think you could sum them up as confirmation bias!

Trump did it brilliantly in 2016, but the opponent is markedly different. I dont think an elderly, centre white man will be able to invoke the level of rage a black man, or a woman did in 2016. I also dont think Kamala Harris will either.

 

[catcherintherye]

That's not how we do things around here

I've given a more blunt assessment underneath.