Current Affairs Joe Biden POTUS #46

[Death]

An bhfuil aon gaeilge ella agat?
You're like a piranha, all mouth and an arseh*le

Tá mé piranha agus tá ocras orm le Tory Democratic bia.

 

[sdk]

Is Éireannach mé freisin. B’fhéidir amárach beidh mé Breatnais. Go raibh maith agat, Google Translate!

 

[Death]

Is Éireannach mé freisin. B’fhéidir amárach beidh mé Breatnais. Go raibh maith agat, Google Translate!

Go raibh maith agat.

 

[RAFUH]

An bhfuil aon gaeilge ella agat?
You're like a piranha, all mouth and an arseh*le

Tá mé piranha agus tá ocras orm le Tory Democratic bia.

Is Éireannach mé freisin. B’fhéidir amárach beidh mé Breatnais. Go raibh maith agat, Google Translate!

Go raibh maith agat.

Ffs guys.

You made me use Google translate and earned a bit of a Biden holiday

 

[Hickson9]

I'm not sure about that modelling. Biden 80% to win Florida seems... optimistic, at best

He has a comfortable polling lead there, which translates to winning 80% of the time in their modelling runs.

 

[LinekersLegs]

However

 

[Hickson9]

However

The polls are being weighted differently this time around I believe, so should be more accurate theoretically.

All the signs currently point to a comfortable Biden win.

 

[LinekersLegs]

The polls are being weighted differently this time around I believe, so should be more accurate theoretically.

All the signs currently point to a comfortable Biden win.

Hope so but still quite a lot of work to go to translate those voting intentions to actual votes, especially in the to e of coronaviru.

 

[BirkenheadBlue]

However

That’s certainly concerning, but without knowing the undecided % it’s hard to really interpret with much meaning. I’d guess that the % undecided is much lower than in 2016, which would make it significantly harder to make up a deficit.

 

[catcherintherye]

However

The reality is, the polls in 2016 were out by 2% overall, and ceertainly in some of those key swing states quite a bit out. They have been recalibrated. You have to assume they reflect things accurately.

I said the tehr day, the polls in certain marginals are a bit too close for comfort. Thats not to say Biden isn't in a good position, but he's not inked in. Trump does need to start eating into those leads though.

 

[riddick]

The polls are being weighted differently this time around I believe, so should be more accurate theoretically.

All the signs currently point to a comfortable Biden win.

I'm sure you are the type of person who was getting ready to go turn off the tele in the 85th minute against Newcastle this year.

 

[BlueTX]

That’s certainly concerning, but without knowing the undecided % it’s hard to really interpret with much meaning. I’d guess that the % undecided is much lower than in 2016, which would make it significantly harder to make up a deficit.

Using the same source (RCP) on the same date, Clinton had only a 5.4% lead nationally despite the rather large swing-state polling advantage.

I agree with you. Just 4 years separating but seems to me there are fundamental differences making direct comparison of polling 2016 v 2020 not super instructive.

 

[BlueTX]

Republican convention draws 17 million TV viewers, down 26% from 2016

Viewing for the GOP's gathering on Monday also fell short of last week's opening night for the Democratic convention.

www.latimes.com

 

[Hickson9]

I'm sure you are the type of person who was getting ready to go turn off the tele in the 85th minute against Newcastle this year.

I'm a season ticket holder.

 

[TheBigIguana]

He has a comfortable polling lead there, which translates to winning 80% of the time in their modelling runs.

View attachment 98412

It's mother-ing unreal that a 5 percent lead in the polls on election day is only worth a win 80% of the time and that people think this is a good thing.