Debt ceiling deal looks good:
https://www.cnn.com/2023/05/27/politics/debt-limit-negotiations-latest/index.html
Republicans get spending caps (flat 2023 -> '24, then 1% increase for '25) and an expansion of work requirements for SNAP by five years in terms of age, with a phase-in and a sunset in 2030. That last is a nice touch that both sides can sell. Biden protects Medicaid, gets the next debt ceiling fight punted to 2025, and doesn't get his legislative agenda rolled back.
Hard to say what the most extreme members of the right will do, but I can't see them getting a better deal. That looks like it holds all 51 votes in the Senate to me.