Hope he doesn't but he seems to have hinted at it. Just crazy. Harris, as you note, also isn't likely to galvanize any new voters. I actually think that some outsider-type (not totally outside, but a bit off the radar) could do well.
Current Affairs General US politics (ie, not POTUS related)
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Hope he doesn't but he seems to have hinted at it. Just crazy. Harris, as you note, also isn't likely to galvanize any new voters. I actually think that some outsider-type (not totally outside, but a bit off the radar) could do well.
While I don’t want him to run again, I think he deserves more credit than that
Perhaps he does, but I didn't really see him play a big role in midterms as far as campaigning, and his debt relief wasn't a key motivator among young voters. He seemed to be in the background, as far as I could tell. Don't get me wrong, I like Biden and think he has some good character, but I really hope he hangs it up.
TN Toffee
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I think his prospects for a second term depend entirely on what the Republican Party does over the next six months. From looking at the results from up and down the ticket, it was blatantly obvious that Trump and MAGA in general was what was still really on the ballot, and voters nationwide seem to have largely rejected it.
If the GOP does finally decide to move on and bring some new ideas rather than simply being the Party of Trump, Democrats are going to also need to move forward and bring something more to the table than just being the Anti-Trump Party. Biden could probably win a second showdown with Trump, but against a younger, craftier, less-known commodity who doesn’t reek of toxicity I’m far less certain.
Dare I hope that the “any election I lose is because it was rigged” fad is fading out of fashion?
mmmmsnouts
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Absolute left-wing bollocks this. Biden's "unpopularity" is because of the radical left disapproving of him because they are too online and think you can solve any problem with a magic wand.
Wtf
Martin Alvito
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The Democrats' problem is that they lack rising stars. This is what happens when the entirety of House leadership is older than God, the party's governors are getting up there and a two-term president succeeded by his vice-president suck all of the oxygen out of the room. Under normal circumstances, someone like Newsom would probably be the next nominee, but California is too far out of step with the rest of the country these days.
The Republicans would have faced much the same problem in 2000 if not for the fact that their last president's son happened to win a big state governor's chair by virtue of having the right name.
I have a hard time seeing anyone other than Biden securing the Democratic nomination if he's alive and healthy. Should something happen to him, it becomes a free-for-all with a lot of hats in the ring.
The Republicans would have faced much the same problem in 2000 if not for the fact that their last president's son happened to win a big state governor's chair by virtue of having the right name.
I have a hard time seeing anyone other than Biden securing the Democratic nomination if he's alive and healthy. Should something happen to him, it becomes a free-for-all with a lot of hats in the ring.
I don't think it's bollocks. The leftwing young voters are online; they are politically energized by sources us old folks didn't grow up with nor think important. Do you think anyone (broadly speaking) under age 25 even bothered to watch Biden's "threat to Democracy" television address to the nation on November 3rd, which appears to be the only substantive campainging he did this election cycle? I don't.
Obama is credited with energizing the young vote, but this was during a presidential election year. Biden surely can't claim the same credit during a midterm election when his popularity among young democrat voters is palpably down. No one is hoping for a magic wand one-stop solution, but one can certainly imagine what a young fresh-faced presidential candidate could do with this momentum in 2024, as did Obama in 2008.
Martin Alvito
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The elephant in the room is that the Supreme Court threw the election with Dobbs. The only age group where there has ever been greater support for 'legal under all circumstances' as opposed to 'legal under certain circumstances' per Gallup data dating to 1975 is the 18-29 age group in the last year. Unusually high turnout among that group for a midterm is widely credited with the result.
If you want my opinion, the present situation boils down to: Trump and McConnell got what they wanted for their base, but paying them off activates more opposing voters than it gains. This next Supreme Court term is likely to further aggravate the opposition.
Is it the elephant in the room or a much more crowded chamber of motivation?
I mean I can only speak for myself, but 2016 triggered me to vote in 2018. I had never voted a midterm election. I will never make that mistake again by not voting even if my vote doesn't matter so to speak.
One human has driven opposition to him like no other. He has a massive comb over and is very orange.
Bidens problem is people who voted for him?
No doubt, Dobbs played a large role. It will be interesting to see more exit poll analyses of this election cycle.
TN Toffee
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To some extent, yes. There are plenty of people who voted for Biden, but are politically to the left of his agenda and are unhappy with him. That doesn’t mean that they’re ever going to cross the aisle and vote Republican, but rather may choose to either vote for a statistically insignificant third candidate, or simply not vote at all because they don’t feel there is a candidate who represents their interests.
Unlike Republicans, whose coalition is basically just the wealthy and the Evangelicals, the Democratic coalition is far more wide ranging. Also, the Republican coalition tends to be much more reliable about showing up to the polls EVERY single time. Given that the path to victory for Democrats is largely turnout based, having even a small portion of that coalition not show up because they’re uninterested could be disastrous.
I’ve been generally satisfied with the job Biden has done so far, but there’s no denying that A LOT of people who cast a vote for him were actually casting a vote AGAINST Trump. If/when Trump eventually starts to fade into the background, it’s going to be important for the Democrats to find a candidate that people truly want to vote FOR.
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