Martin Alvito
Player Valuation: £50m
My read of the polling data is that it has started trending significantly in Warnock's direction and that this is the nail in the coffin. Hypocrisy at this level never plays well with the persuadable subset of voters. Warnock can lose, even if nothing else changes in the race, but my sense is that a Warnock loss is becoming pretty unlikely. Nate is slower to update his priors than I am.Hope so but I thought the restraining order and allegedly putting a gun to his ex wife's temple and threatening to blow her brains out would have sunk his candidacy yet he was still close in the polls last I checked.
Data is here: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/senate/georgia/