Current Affairs General US politics (ie, not POTUS related)

[carolinablue232]

Just a feeling really, but I think Loeffler is so bad she's offputting to "middle ground" Republicans who could stay away from the polls for her.

Plus, to be blunt, I think Warnock has an enthused black base due to Abrams, which Ossoff won't benefit from in the same way, and Loeffler won't get the enthused female vote in any way shape or form. Demographics are a real thing.

I think Georgia still leans mildly Republican overall, just a gut feeling, so I think Perdue - by being quiet and having Ossoff as a fairly "milk toast" opponent - will just about get over the line.

I can't see comfortable wins in either race though.

BUT... I say all the above as by no means an expert in Georgian politics!

The polls were basically identical for both races weren’t they? Objectively I agree with you but it seems to me like it’s so party driven it’s gonna be a sweep one way or another.

 

[sdk]

Prediction time - I think Warnock wins, but Perdue beats Ossoff.

Given the publicity and atmosphere around this runoff, I think ticket splitting will be minimal.

I think Republicans disgusted with the spectacle who hate their party's candidates will vote for 'em anyway and that all the mouthbreathing MAGAs will do the same in sufficient number to put 'em over the top with relative ease. Death to Amerika.

 

[carolinablue232]

Given the publicity and atmosphere around this runoff, I think ticket splitting will be minimal.

I think Republicans disgusted with the spectacle who hate their party's candidates will vote for 'em anyway and that all the mouthbreathing MAGAs will do the same in sufficient number to put 'em over the top with relative ease. Death to Amerika.

I know they’re somewhat misleading and not to get your hopes up, but the polls as of Jan 3rd gave the Dems both a slight edge. It’ll be tight either way.

 

[sdk]

I know they’re somewhat misleading and not to get your hopes up, but the polls as of Jan 3rd gave the Dems both a slight edge. It’ll be tight either way.

Also encouraging is that I'm no good at electoral forecasting.

 

[Wizard]

STOP THE COUNT!! STOP THE COUNT!!

 

[Tin-Tin]

A lot of this early count is mail in isnt it? The cruch should come with the in person voting.

Funny how different it looks to the Presidential election when the mail in was calculated later

 

[LinekersLegs]

Encouraging but want to see more from R areas and their vote #s today

 

[LinekersLegs]

 

[RAFUH]

The polls were basically identical for both races weren’t they? Objectively I agree with you but it seems to me like it’s so party driven it’s gonna be a sweep one way or another.

I can see more moderate Republicans not liking Loeffler, but wanting to keep the Senate in GOP hands so either voting a split ticket or just for Perdue

 

[LinekersLegs]

 

[RAFUH]

Stop it @LinekersLegs!
Don’t get my hopes up

 

[TheBigIguana]

NY Times needles both looking good for the Dems. IIRC on election night they had Biden looking poor early in GA before swinging as more Atlanta area votes came in. Those are in already this time to some degree so it'll play differently. Still good signs right now.

 

[Ruairi77]

Perdue takes the lead state wide. About 65% in

 

[LinekersLegs]

Stop it @LinekersLegs!
Don’t get my hopes up

Fwiw the polling folks I follow (both left and right leaning) are seeming increasingly confident

 

[TN Toffee]

Both races are a dead heat right now, but there’s still 50%+ of the vote outstanding in Atlanta and the surrounding blue counties. That’s got to be a hopeful sign for Democrats.