@barneygumble The current position that Bert Kassies offers presumes that seeded teams progress which is a good start.. what we do know is as follows:
1. By tonight we will know the exact names of all the teams in next season's Europa (apart from any CL losers in CLQR3 or CLQR4 (such as Liverpool) or 3rd in Group Stages such as Man Utd and Arsenal (oh, hang on))..
2. Because the draw for round 2 is made at the same time as Rd 1 the list of possible 3rd round teams becomes a little clearer.
3. By July 6th we will know the exact composition of those EL2QR ties.
4. On July 6th we will be able to project the either/or teams in our 3rd QR Groupings for the draw.
5. This is important as the Groups have to exclude potential opponents (seed vs non-seed) from the same country. The 58 teams are divided into 4 groups of 12 and one of 10 all of approximately equal strength - Top seed goes in Group A, next B etc etc - We are currently 13th seeds - this means (at the moment) our potential opponent is one of the following 6 teams:
(Warning: This will change as teams do or don't win ties in Round 1 and may be affected by the 2nd Round draw)
FC Oleksandriya Ukraine
Olimpik Donetsk Ukraine
Slovan Bratislava Slovakia
FC Utrecht Nederland
AEK Larnaca Cyprus
Panionios Greece
Though it will be likely clear by 6th July. Then I should be able to eliminate the potential duplications that can arise from either side making Rd 3. This is easier to project for Round 4 because the either/or scenario of qualifiers will be avoided.
It only takes one shock to completely alter the complexion of the Groups from which UEFA determine the draw procedure.