Current Affairs EU In or Out

[orchard]

Conversation

• 
  
  
  Keir Starmer
  
  @Keir_Starmer
  

The Prime Minister appears to be pursuing a course of action that her own deputy last week described as reckless. Theresa May is desperate once again to impose a binary choice between her deal and no deal despite Parliament clearly ruling out both of those options last week

 

[Bruce Wayne]

News from Czech

A hard Brexit would "slash Czech exports to the UK by 20 percent, Czech GDP growth by 1.1 points, and employment by 40,000 staff", analysts at the Ceska sporitelna bank, a Czech unit of Austria's Erste Bank, have warned.

Czech companies sell goods worth 210 billion koruna (8.2 billion euros, $9.2 billion) to Britain a year, with auto exports making up more than half of the total, according to Ceska.

Accounting for more than 20 percent of Czech industrial output, the car industry "is the most threatened by Brexit because of its size within the economy", David Marek, chief economist at Deloitte Czech Republic, told AFP.

 

[Bruce Wayne]

Nope. All those were imediate predictions.

George Osbourne went to great lengths to tell everyone about his emergency budget the day after the vote

As said, can you link/reference the claims?

 

[arminisgod]

Not at the moment I'm at work.

 

[Big Fat Sam]

Can somebody please let me know what happens if at least one of the 27 EU countries rejects the UK's request to delay to Brexit? Does that mean there is no option but to leave with no deal? Or could (and is it likely?) it end up with another referendum?

Being no expert, I have no idea what is likely, but I don't see the UK having any good reasoning to request a delay, especially as it's of the Government's own doing and their ineptitude that has led to this request.

 

[Tubey]

Can somebody please let me know what happens if at least one of the 27 EU countries rejects the UK's request to delay to Brexit? Does that mean there is no option but to leave with no deal? Or could (and is it likely?) it end up with another referendum?

Being no expert, I have no idea what is likely, but I don't see the UK having any good reasoning to request a delay, especially as it's of the Government's own doing and their ineptitude that has led to this request.

It'd be 50/50 between no deal and revoking Article 50.

The more likely outcome would be indicative votes on options with a second referendum being tabled to secure the extension needed.

The even more likely outcome though is that the EU simply accept the extension. It's in their interests to do so, at least for a short while.

But the even mooooore likely outcome is that if the EU rejected it, May would table Meaningful Vote 3 and look to get it passed due to no deal being so perilously close.

 

[orchard]

Can somebody please let me know what happens if at least one of the 27 EU countries rejects the UK's request to delay to Brexit? Does that mean there is no option but to leave with no deal? Or could (and is it likely?) it end up with another referendum?

Being no expert, I have no idea what is likely, but I don't see the UK having any good reasoning to request a delay, especially as it's of the Government's own doing and their ineptitude that has led to this request.

The House can always revoke a50 for the time being if May attempts to force a false binary choice of two already rejected alternatives.
Also, Soubry's on the case after advice from the speaker previously.

 

[Big Fat Sam]

It'd be 50/50 between no deal and revoking Article 50.

The more likely outcome would be indicative votes on options with a second referendum being tabled to secure the extension needed.

The even more likely outcome though is that the EU simply accept the extension. It's in their interests to do so, at least for a short while.

But the even mooooore likely outcome is that if the EU rejected it, May would table Meaningful Vote 3 and look to get it passed due to no deal being so perilously close.

Thanks @Tubey.

 

[orchard]

Looks like McGovern's beaten Soubry to the SO24.

 

[Big Fat Sam]

The House can always revoke a50 for the time being if May attempts to force a false binary choice of two already rejected alternatives.
Also, Soubry's on the case after advice from the speaker previously.

Thanks @orchard.

 

[orchard]

Thanks @orchard.

Nae bother, hoping May ends up in the tower for the good of humanity.

 

[Blue 1]

They walk among us:

 

[Mutzo Nutzo]

Nobody is treating it a game. The shambles the government has created is laughable.

But some people simply don't believe the doom and gloom bring pushed by so called experts. These are the same people who told us we go spiral into recession the second we voted to leave.

Simply hasn't happened. Business and trade will carry on. Are the EU just going to dump their goods in the English channel???

On the medication point. It's always been common for me where boots have said we don't have it in stock and it will arrive next week. Brexit hasnt caused that!

Please can you quote these references to people predicting financial chaos the day we announced we were leaving?

 

[arminisgod]

Looks like McGovern's beaten Soubry to the SO24.

Labour won't support it.

 

[arminisgod]

Please can you quote these references to people predicting financial chaos the day we announced we were leaving?

Just bloody Google it. The Osbourne budget was all over the news the week before the vote