Current Affairs Coronavirus Thread - Serious stuff !!!

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The merican docs would have modelled a range of outcomes based on various actions. Looks like this prof picked up on a Worse Case Scenario to underline his valid points re global sharing of vax's.

Yeah, that's fair enough mate - and it always reminds me of that Thick Of It scene (whether it's one end of the disaster spectrum or the best case scenario).

 
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Vaccines appear to work against the variants
(Seychelles News Agency) - Around 80 percent of people in Seychelles recently infected with COVID-19 have not been vaccinated, a top official said on Saturday. Though infections have risen recently, thanks to the island nation's vaccination programme which was rolled out in January, people are not seriously ill and the health system is not under pressure Sylvestre Radegonde, the minister for foreign affairs and tourism said.

Radegonde told SNA that for now, the situation is manageable. COVID-19 patients are being treated in two hospitals – the Perseverance Family Hospital and the Anse Royale Hospital, he said. The minister explained that patients infected with the virus are stable with mild symptoms. Out of the around 40 who are hospitalised, only two are in critical conditions and are currently in the Intensive Care Unit.

Radegonde said that the majority of people who are infected are Seychellois. As they have been vaccinated they are showing few symptoms and are stable. "This shows that the vaccination has had its effect," added Radegonde.
He added that the number of infections for the past week is fluctuating and an increase in the number of detected cases is a result of more tests being done and an increase in contact tracing.

However, the minister said the current situation is worrying. Radegonde added that the number of new cases shows that with the vaccination programme people are letting their guards down. "Seychellois because they are vaccinated now are relaxing and think that all is ok. We are letting our guard down, we are not as careful as before," explained the minister.
 
I'm amazed new cases have remained so low - I genuinely expected to see a bit of a spike after the recent easing of restrictions.

Vaccines, eh. Brilliant things.
It’s amazing though I’m still a little cautious due to next week. Think we need to see how things are looking by June really.
 
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It’s amazing though I’m still a little cautious due to next week. Think we need to see how things are looking by June really.
I'm not as cautious as I was - you only have to go into any 'non-essential' shop to see that social distancing indoors does not and has not existed for several weeks now and we've not seen any spike. Obviously, indoor hospitality is another step above that, but we'll have another few million-or-so people vaccinated (either partially or fully) by then, so it seems like a sensible next step to take.
 
Hospital figures - 2 deaths were announced today, down 13 on yesterday and down 2 on last Sunday. Both deaths were in English hospitals, down 11 on yesterday and down 1 on last week. The 7 day rolling average falls very slightly to 12.57

All settings - for the 28 day cut off, 2 deaths were announced today, down 3 on yesterday and down 12 on last Sunday. The 7 day rolling average falls to 9.57

For the 60 day cut off, 5 deaths were announced today, down 14 on yesterday and down 11 on last Sunday. The 7 day rolling average falls to 22.86
 
I'm not as cautious as I was - you only have to go into any 'non-essential' shop to see that social distancing indoors does not and has not existed for several weeks now and we've not seen any spike. Obviously, indoor hospitality is another step above that, but we'll have another few million-or-so people vaccinated (either partially or fully) by then, so it seems like a sensible next step to take.
Yes, it certainly is.

The opening up has been minimal so far. Next Monday will be the start of a spike upwards. How can it not when we know indoor hospitality has been a key driver of the last two deadly surges.
 
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