You could be right and perhaps I am misreading and not accounting for the 21 day second dose not marked. Its made me a bit reflective though of the two dose strategy, in the study first dose protection is somewhere between 50%-90% odd depending on who is vaccinated.
An anecdotal study was done in Sheba Medical Center vaccinating its nearly 10,000 staff members with the Pfizer COVID-19 vaccine. Vaccination there started Dec. 19, 2020, which coincided with the third wave of COVID-19 in Israel. The researchers looked to see the rate of reduction in SARS-CoV-2 infection and COVID-19 disease after vaccination. By Jan. 24, 2021, 7,214 health care workers there had received a first dose, and 6,037 had received the second dose.
Altogether, there were 170 cases of infection between Dec. 19, 2020, and Jan. 24, 2021. Of those, 89 people, or 52%, were unvaccinated; 78 people, or 46%, tested positive after the first dose; and three, or 2%, tested positive after the second dose. Which mirrors the initial Pfizer data of the first dose.
Using the data from the published study of the Pfizer vaccine, Public Health England determined that
vaccine efficacy was 89%for 15-21 days after dose 1 – and before dose 2 on day 21. The range was between 52% and 97%. For days 15-28, or up to the first week after the second dose, protection from the first dose was estimated at 91%. The range for this was between 74% and 97%. A second dose would not be expected to confer immunity within that time.
I find it quite amazing, overall given the context that more data hasn’t emerged either positive or negative on one dose of Pfizer or Moderna and the dosing strategyno the declining immunity assumption. Anedotlley in the U.K. the spacing doesn’t seem to have impacted. I’m becoming increasingly questioning of it, when you consider the bed fit of spacing or indeed a single dose, not that I’m reco,ending either - I just find it amazing no clear data has emerged at this point.