Current Affairs Coronavirus Thread - Serious stuff !!!

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Let's see how the data plays out.

I want to be led by data, not ideology. All data currently suggesting Pfizer vaccine successful in Israel, and preliminary data suggests Pfizer/AZ vaccine successful in the UK and we'll know more inside the next week or so.

If the vaccine stops people being hospitalised and/or dying, it's done its job. Whether that's after 1/2 doses, we'll see.

er - the data shows clear success in doing what the manufacturer said, though?

As for the “data not ideology” thing, that’s a bizarre statement for someone whose argued what you have overnight to make.

*All* the data points to the superiority of effective containment as a policy, compared to a policy of accepting a % of casualties and trying to carry on.
 
Yes but your argument is those countries are back to normal. They're not.
They simply haven't made the mistakes we did.
They will rely heavily on the vaccination programme as will the UK.

No - my argument is that they’ve handled this far better than we have, have imposed less restrictions than we have, have had less damage than we have and so we should really look at what they did and do the same sorts of things.
 
er - the data shows clear success in doing what the manufacturer said, though?

As for the “data not ideology” thing, that’s a bizarre statement for someone whose argued what you have overnight to make.

*All* the data points to the superiority of effective containment as a policy, compared to a policy of accepting a % of casualties and trying to carry on.

Yeah we don't know if the UKs policy regarding spacing will pay off yet for Pfizer, hence wanting data. Fair amount saying it does for AZ but still need more. 1-2 weeks away.

By ideology, I mean in terms of effectively ignoring the effect of the vaccine no matter what it does.
 
SK, Taiwan, NZ, Australia, Vietnam - places that, via various means, effectively contained the virus and the result was vastly fewer restrictions on their citizens, far fewer deaths and far less economic damage.

How anyone can come out if this past year and not think containment is the answer here baffles me.

They did, but it is not 'normal'.

Containment and the vaccines is the answer.... but when you vaccinate, it becomes a lot easier to contain while also having normality back, and 'normality' is not banning all travellers/or enforcing 2-week quarantine (which is the right thing to do right now) or going into region-wide lockdowns.

So no, these countries are not 'back to normal'.
 
Yeah we don't know if the UKs policy regarding spacing will pay off yet for Pfizer, hence wanting data. Fair amount saying it does for AZ but still need more. 1-2 weeks away.

By ideology, I mean in terms of effectively ignoring the effect of the vaccine no matter what it does.

How is letting it spread again because we believe most people won’t get a serious illness from it not an ideological standpoint?

We know what happens when this thing gets out of control. Why would anyone think that would be an acceptable state of affairs?
 
How is letting it spread again because we believe most people won’t get a serious illness from it not an ideological standpoint?

We know what happens when this thing gets out of control. Why would anyone think that would be an acceptable state of affairs?

Again, you’re referring to a pre-vaccine world.

All of the science suggests that 70% uptake of the vaccine within the population will massively reduce serious illness and death from the virus.

So it will never get “out of control” in the way it has this year. It’s simply not possible.
 
How is letting it spread again because we believe most people won’t get a serious illness from it not an ideological standpoint?

We know what happens when this thing gets out of control. Why would anyone think that would be an acceptable state of affairs?

I didn't say let it spread again. I said if it does, lockdown isn't the reaction needed if it isn't killing or even seriously making people ill, just like having flu seasons doesn't result in lockdowns.

Wanting lockdowns as a response is ideological, as it's borne from a panic to the pandemic as it exists now rather than logic if the vaccine works as it looks like it will.

Lockdowns are meant to be an emergency measure. Saying infection alone is justification for that emergency measure, regardless of severity, is ideological.
 
Again, you’re referring to a pre-vaccine world.

All of the science suggests that 70% uptake of the vaccine within the population will massively reduce serious illness and death from the virus.

So it will never get “out of control” in the way it has this year. It’s simply not possible.

That’s not the experience we have had with flu every year - yes, vaccinations will reduce deaths but even with that we still have 10000 deaths a year. That’s with a less deadly illness than this is.

Plus of course the vaccine only works on this virus; not what’s coming next. Asia learning from SARS and putting a working system in place helped them deal with this; why anyone wouldn’t want us to do the same sort of thing after what we’ve been through baffles me.
 
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