It's a really difficult one as on one hand you don't want people to worry, so you can understand why people would possibly want a more economic truth.Even if its the truth, saying 'best case with everything going to plan is 20,000 deaths' doesn't really fill people with confidence.
On the other hand, we've got to be incredibly realistic that many, many people will die, and we should be honest about what the impact may be.
Sadly, in the short term the economy of this virus is deaths and in the long-term it will be the fiscal burden it provides on all of us, alongside collapsed businesses.