I think the research shows we are getting better at treating though, thankfully.
From an epidemology point of view i agree, its getting out of control again in Europe. To be honest, i think most of us in health care have been saying consistently that the second wave was predictability obvious in Oct to March 20/21. Certainly were i work weve been planning for this since the start of the summer.
In many ways this is the real start of the pandemic, as a lot of natural advantages were there in the late spring and summer in Europe, to help with the necessary measures of controlling this, being outside, ventilation, empowering good will.
Different story now, flu season, busy winter period in health care, fatigue with covid, not much good will standing out in the rain and cold queuing or shutting pubs and restaurants with unwelcoming conditions of getting out of the house.
A lot of conditions there to see this increase hugely during winter.
Seems to me a bit of chicken being played by politicians, the popular political motivation holistically seems to be seen politically to be able to manage living with Covid. We are in an environment now were i see epidmology best advice competing with politics and political profile projection - all across Europe really. Its a dangerous game.
There is an argument there for a circuit breaker lock down or something very close, but that window will close soon, if people are to have a normalised Christmas period i mean that from mid Nov through to Jan. I think a key consideration is Christmas, economically on the high street, but also in terms in being with other households etc. If governments dont get cases down before mid Nov, i think they risk loosing the economy in that time and also loosing a hold on the spread of this, as i think people will just take their chances over Xmas and say sod it, impossible to police to.
For me anyway, im looking at it like this, two separate pandemic experiences- one we've been through in Spring and Summer and one we are entering into this Autumn winter, what we think we know holistically will be different.