On March 11, I quoted the WHO telling Governments to take urgent and aggressive action.
On March 13 I made a couple of posts about the impact of exponential growth.
The information was there. The Government made a mistake that has directly led to the deaths of tens of thousands of people. It is up to each individual what they do with that going forwards. I personally wont be voting for this Government.
I live in a busy part of London, the epicentre of the outbreak at the time, and those full pubs in the week after March 16 were disastrous.
The WHO directive would have been generic advice, for individual countries to adopt at the appropriate time. The UK did adopt it. But they got the timing wrong, probably by about 2 weeks as we know.
As regards the second paragraph, I fully accept that you were right and may even have liked your posts as I agree with you. As I said, I also wanted shutdown earlier than it came, and I also criticised the government early doors for not having more checks of people flying into the country and banning large gatherings and sporting events earlier than they did. But at the end of the day you can't deny that the SAGE minutes confirm that the politicians followed the scientific advice throughout the early stages of the pandemic. Mistakes were made. Yes, the politicians could have gone against the advice of their experts, but when lives are at risk I cannot blame then for not doing that, even if I think they were wrong. It's a pity you weren't on the SAGE team to add your twopenny worth.
I don't believe doing full shut down on 16th would have saved tens of thousands of lives for the reasons I already explained. Shutting down on the 9th probably would have. If you want to provide reasons why you believe your views are true I'll happily reconsider that, but I'll need something more than all the pubs in your road were full that week. As I said they were ordered to close from the 20th anyway.
I didn't vote for the Tories in the last election and it is extremely unlikely that I will vote for them in the next either.
For what it's worth, I think since the Cummings disaster they've lost the plot, and when the next set of SAGE minutes are produced I think they'll show that they haven't always followed the science. We've already seen some differing of opinions between politicians and scientists whereas before they were always on the same page.