There is quite a bit of data from China.
But the disease is still in its early stages so hard to know for certain and it is one hell of a gamble to go down that road rather than say trying the S Korean/Singapore approach first.
Especially as 60% of S Korean cases from one, most of the initial N York one fid and most of the attendees are in a high risk group...we Can bin off church for starters for goodness sake
It’s becoming clear that hundreds of thousands are going to die.
It’s a grim reality, but it is reality. Any decision which any government makes will not change this fact. The only way to prevent widespread death from this virus would be entering strict household isolation for several months in every country with no air travel. Unfortunately the infrastructure doesn’t exist and never has.
We gonna start marking crosses on people’s front doors yet?
If people havn't seen it, the following thread's worth a read, if only to see the rationale behind the government's thinking.
Whether that thinking is right or not, nobody knows, and won't do for some time.
Basically agree for the first three sentences (I’m a nerd so like looking up stats!), it is the bolded bit of fourth where we disagree.At first I was big on reading up the statistics on this thing but the more you do the more you realise its largely guess work/non specific.
A good example is in France 300 people are in intensive care in which half are under 60 years of age.
Sounds frightening but the other half under 60 could largely be 59 year olds for example with heart disease, asthma etc.
I think we just have to weather the storm and hope the scientists make a breakthrough.
Complete guesswork isn’t mate, all I know is i have never known government responses like this in my lifetime....
I‘m not so sure of that. I’ve no doubt that millions will get it, but since last November we have had no end of flu like symptoms hitting us. My guess is that many of us have already had this thing and got past it while assuming we had whatever strain of flu was doing the rounds. There may well be thousands who die, but probably not the six figure sums you mention.....no one knows of course, and we are all just giving our own viewpoints, but I hope I am right and you are wrong.....
I agree, but there’s the childcare issue. Loads of NHS staff will have kids in school.Don't think it is tbh - or at least 6 months without it won't kill anyone.
but since last November we have had no end of flu like symptoms hitting us. My guess is that many of us have already had this thing and got past it while assuming we had whatever strain of flu was doing the rounds
There is quite a bit of data from China.
But the disease is still in its early stages so hard to know for certain and it is one hell of a gamble to go down that road rather than say trying the S Korean/Singapore approach first.
Poor taste tbh.....
Don't think it is tbh - or at least 6 months without it won't kill anyone.
Basically agree for the first three sentences (I’m a nerd so like looking up stats!), it is the bolded bit of fourth where we disagree.
I don’t get the rush to infect a lot of the population who will have those vulnerabilities - at least until other methods like widespread testing/contact and social distancing are tried.
Cross fingers on the last bit though!
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