Current Affairs Coronavirus Thread - Serious stuff !!!

[Barnfred 55]

jockdown.......

Have you got the copyright for this too? lol

 

[Barnfred 55]

Was out earlier and the beaches and on road parking around the Cornish coasts have been something akin to August. I'm not sure whether it's just down to the bank holiday weekend and fine weather down here, or whether people are taking a line out of Cummings book and decided to do what they please. I pray it's the former. People down here have previously been very respectful of the guidelines.

 

[peteblue]

Have you got the copyright for this too? lol

lol

 

[Foot Long Hot Dog]

Hospital figures announced as 171 for today, down 19 on yesterday but up 24 on last Sunday. 147 of the deaths were in England, 10 down on yesterday with 111 happening in the last 10 days. Despite the figures going down, the 7 day rolling average has risen slightly up to 191

3 weeks on from the VE Day congas in the Street.

Well I never.

 

[LinekersLegs]

 

[LouReedwalkonthewildside]

I nearly felt sorry for Grant Schapps, Boris telling him to get out and do those interviews must have felt like this.

 

[tsubaki]

U.K. Government press conference delayed for an hour, presumably to enable them enough time to put the body paint on Shapps

 

[zzr45]

3 weeks on from the VE Day congas in the Street.

Well I never.

Not exactly the thousands of deaths directly linked to it that people were predicting mind.

 

[Catfish Blues]

@Neiler @RAFUH @LinekersLegs

Estimating the Global Infection Fatality Rate of COVID-19

COVID-19 has become a global pandemic, resulting in nearly three hundred thousand deaths distributed heterogeneously across countries. Estimating the infection fatality rate (IFR) has been elusive due to the presence of asymptomatic or mildly symptomatic infections and lack of testing capacity...

www.medrxiv.org

Another approach to estimating infection fatality rate (IFR) for COVID-19, uses data from 139 countries.

Suggests a global IFR of 1.04%

Thanks for the link.

Had been hoping that the IFR would settle around 0.6% or so but when even places with lots of testing and well managed care like S Korea are now at a CFR of 2.4% it does sadly suggest it is closer to that 1% IFR.

UK antibody tests suggested an infection rate of about 5% of the population ( so about 3.25 million people )

At the time of the tests ONR and PHE data would give 45 to 50,000 COVID related deaths

50,000 * 100 / 3,250,000 = 1.5%

It'll likely be less than that, because there's a lag between being infected and developing antibodies, and there's a possibility that young people get infected without producing antibodies, but, even so, it's hard to see a fatality rate of much less than 1%, so you'd struggle to disagee with that paper.

 

[Catfish Blues]

3 weeks on from the VE Day congas in the Street.

Well I never.

Possibly, but it doesn't seem very likely.

There was no real increase in hospital admissions associated with VE day, so it seems more likely to be a statistical anomaly.

 

[pierceck]

Apologies if this has been raised previously but is this true? If so, I’m assuming it makes it very similar to SARS 1 in that it burned itself out and essentially made a vaccine redundant?

Does this mean the dreaded second wave is unlikely?

 

[Neiler]

Looks like Cummings is a gonner, press briefing put back and hour and senior Tories breaking ranks.

So long Dom and thanks for all the Brexit.

 

[pierceck]

Boris Johnson leading the press briefing apparently...

 

[Harryflashman]

Looks like Cummings is a gonner, press briefing put back and hour and senior Tories breaking ranks.

So long Dom and thanks for all the Brexit.

journalist speculating Johnson going to back
Him

 

[Tea_drinker]

journalist speculating Johnson going to back
Him

He'll attempt some kind of delaying decoy plan and then drop lockdown tmrw hoping people will forget about his mate.