peteblue
Welcome back Wayne
A concern I have mate is why can’t 20k nursing homes and other community settings give accurate data to the government. We live in an age of information technology and surely you mandate someone to provide that data locally to a central system, jeepers you could send an email. It’s not insignificant data given the scale.
I’ll explain why I’m concerned, if you can’t get concrete data infrastructure like this together logistically, then you don’t have a hope of developing the testing and contract tracing infrastructure nationally (that needed to happen a month ago) to begin to think of lifting restrictions in the interests of public health. One variable here feeds the other, eg if the infection rate is uncontrollable then death rate curve continues, the whole vicious cycle continues. The virus doesn’t exist in a vacuum in a hospital, the vast majority of cases are in the community, thus community transmission is the greatest risk in the country. The UK don’t have their arms around that risk yet, no where near it.
Yes there can be subsets, you can get a trend from any data, but it has to be correct data as it has real world practical implications as to what the next steps are for the UK and when it’s safe to take them, a trend based on a controlled subset like hospitals might not be the best premise.
Yes, you would think they could, but they haven’t. So we are where we are.....