Current Affairs Coronavirus Thread - Serious stuff !!!

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Wolf8312 said:
Lord goldsmith, an expert, once advised that a war of naked aggression on a sovereign state was legal. Or at least that's what we the public saw (although few believed it even then) we know now he had major reservations and can deduce what really happened, and what always happens in such situations. Malcolm Tucker goes to work!

I would actually agree though that timing is important. Aggressive measures would probably have been pointless a few weeks back, but we know the trajectory of this disease, and we know that a few hundred cases now will be a few thousand very soon, and that these numbers will rise exponentially, the collapse of the healthcare services a genuine possibility.
They don't need computer simulations, merely to look at the numbers it Italy a week or two ago, when they were similar to ours and the government reacted inadequately but still more aggressively than ours is doing! Read what their doctors on the front lines are saying.Get ahead of it before its too late...

If they are looking at computer simulations, and ignoring the actual virus itself that is actually running rampant through Iran and Italy then god help you all...
Click to expand...

I really don't want to wind up the spokesman for the UK government :(, but on this at least I think they're probably doing the right thing so I'll try and put the other side.

They feed the data from Italy and elsewhere into the models, or at least that's what I'd expect. They know a lot more now about just how communicable the virus is for instance. Take a look at this article that outlines some of the complex issues involved in implementation of social distancing:


The problem with the immediate aggressive approach is that it's not sustainable and too many people will disregard it due to their own experience. Look at some of the responses on this thread. You and I know that in two weeks we won't be seeing those responses, or at least far fewer of them, but they're the reality at present.

I think the govts approach is to try containment for as long as possible, then move on to delay and again try to do the most effective things, not necessarily all the the weapons in the arsenal at once.

I'll leave it there. I respect your point of view, I just think this is one of those occasions where the intuitive response: 'shut everything down' may not be the most effective. Yes, even after the evidence of the Italian doctor...
 
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