Current Affairs 2024 POTUS race

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On the polls, I think each party push what ever poll suits them.
At the moment, Democrats want polls that show a tie or Trump slightly ahead within the margin of Error.
They want to stave off any apathy.
The GOP also want polls with Trump ahead as their campaign is far more aggressive.
Harris's media blitz went very well over the last few days. Trump on the other hand seems to be just spouting nonsense that isnt helping convert any independents. Hence why he's being pulled from so many interviews.
His Univision town hall was so bad it may have been aimed at a white audience.
It'll be interesting to see if Harris goes on Rogan's show.
 
I think if you’re talking about Everton manager I agree but in something like this people are putting huge money on it but like the Everton Manager people who place large bets often feel like they have the inside track .

I said the other day I can’t reconcile it with your polling I’ve seen , it’s illustrative in as it’s tough to work out what’s going on and there has been speculation in this thread .

It’s just something I found mildly interesting for a few reasons .
Or they are willing to wager (relatively) small amounts of money to influence public opinion—not unlike advertising, which they are ineligible to do.
 
North Carolina strong.


Long lines in Asheville is good as are long lines in Pitt County.

https://www.witn.com/2024/10/18/record-early-voter-turnout-pitt-county-this-year/

PITT COUNTY, N.C. (WITN) - With the start of early voting yesterday, more people in an Eastern Carolina county are streaming to the polls in record numbers compared to recent election years.
According to Pitt County, 6,488 people voted Thursday, compared to 6,072 four years ago, and 4,012 in 2016. That is an all-time record for early voting in the county
In Carteret County, 4,289 people turned out on Thursday, compared to 3,370 four years ago.
The State Board of Elections says 353,166 people voted in North Carolina yesterday. These numbers topped the previous record for the first day of early voting, 348,559, set in 2020 by 1.3 percent.
The regular voter registration deadline was October 11. However, any North Carolinian who is eligible to vote may still register and vote during the early voting period. Registrants must provide proof of their residence address, which can be a driver’s license or other government document, paycheck, utility bill, or bank statement.

Pitt County says they have removed the wait time estimator on their website because it is “too hectic and busy on all the sites to be updated on a consistent basis. ”

For more information about early voting and early voting sites, visit
Vote Early in Person.
 
Long lines in Asheville is good as are long lines in Pitt County.

https://www.witn.com/2024/10/18/record-early-voter-turnout-pitt-county-this-year/

PITT COUNTY, N.C. (WITN) - With the start of early voting yesterday, more people in an Eastern Carolina county are streaming to the polls in record numbers compared to recent election years.
According to Pitt County, 6,488 people voted Thursday, compared to 6,072 four years ago, and 4,012 in 2016. That is an all-time record for early voting in the county
In Carteret County, 4,289 people turned out on Thursday, compared to 3,370 four years ago.
The State Board of Elections says 353,166 people voted in North Carolina yesterday. These numbers topped the previous record for the first day of early voting, 348,559, set in 2020 by 1.3 percent.
The regular voter registration deadline was October 11. However, any North Carolinian who is eligible to vote may still register and vote during the early voting period. Registrants must provide proof of their residence address, which can be a driver’s license or other government document, paycheck, utility bill, or bank statement.

Pitt County says they have removed the wait time estimator on their website because it is “too hectic and busy on all the sites to be updated on a consistent basis. ”

For more information about early voting and early voting sites, visit
Vote Early in Person.
Especially, IMO, if the turnout demos are similar to those reported elsewhere: females voting at a 10% higher rate than males.

A 4-6% gap is the norm in POTUS elections.
 
Especially, IMO, if the turnout demos are similar to those reported elsewhere: females voting at a 10% higher rate than males.

A 4-6% gap is the norm in POTUS elections.

Completely anecdotal, but it was 80+% female at my polling station and even higher percentage black voters (TBF that polling station is in a area of town that is predominantly black)
 
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On the polls, I think each party push what ever poll suits them.
At the moment, Democrats want polls that show a tie or Trump slightly ahead within the margin of Error.
They want to stave off any apathy.
The GOP also want polls with Trump ahead as their campaign is far more aggressive.
Harris's media blitz went very well over the last few days. Trump on the other hand seems to be just spouting nonsense that isnt helping convert any independents. Hence why he's being pulled from so many interviews.
His Univision town hall was so bad it may have been aimed at a white audience.
It'll be interesting to see if Harris goes on Rogan's show.
They deffo need to keep him quiet . his base don’t care but the more he rambles hopefully little bits filter through to , the somehow , undecideds
Or they are willing to wager (relatively) small amounts of money to influence public opinion—not unlike advertising, which they are ineligible to do.
Yeah mate possibly , I think relatively needs to do some heavy lifting but I take your point
 
Yeah mate possibly , I think relatively needs to do some heavy lifting but I take your point
I'll search around to share if you wish but I recall recently seeing that quite a lot of the money wagered at Polymarket is large sums from a handful of very wealthy people, including one who looks to control several large betting accounts all favoring Trump, that are driving the prediction odds.
 
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