Current Affairs 2024 POTUS race

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Or Rasmussen!!

All kidding aside, Nate Silver sees a problem in Pennsylvania: https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model
Ironically Nate’s new model (the one paid for by the betting site rather than his old home of 538) has Rasmussen as rated B!

From the time machine


Fwiw I don’t necessarily disagree with their inclusion, just that high a rating seems rather excessive given their past results/questionable methods.
 
Ironically Nate’s new model (the one paid for by the betting site rather than his old home of 538) has Rasmussen as rated B!

From the time machine


Fwiw I don’t necessarily disagree with their inclusion, just that high a rating seems rather excessive given their past results/questionable methods.

If I remember correctly, the guy who designed the original model left 538 a few years ago after they were bought by, I wanna say Disney but can't remember.
 
Ironically Nate’s new model (the one paid for by the betting site rather than his old home of 538) has Rasmussen as rated B!

From the time machine


Fwiw I don’t necessarily disagree with their inclusion, just that high a rating seems rather excessive given their past results/questionable methods.

Rasmussen used to be C+ in the old 538 days.
It's partisan (like some others), but not totally worthless.

Still, I like his model better than the current 538 model (that model had Biden as a favourite against Trump). I'm not willing to pay for a subscription though.

I once met Nate Silver. Nice guy.
 
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