Current Affairs 2024 POTUS race

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www.vox.com

A new report complicates simplistic narratives about race and the 2020 election

The report from the firm Catalist looks at what changed since 2016, but also at the parties’ coalitions overall.
www.vox.com www.vox.com

I think we already have a good idea with two previous elections which voter typically votes or does not vote for Trump.

The popular vote has been won by the Dems in all bar one election since 1992.

Now with the projected minority votes, for Trump to have any chance of winning he needs minimum 60% of the white vote. Which seems unlikely given typically just over half of white women don't vote for Trump.
 
Sean Ashley said:
www.vox.com

A new report complicates simplistic narratives about race and the 2020 election

The report from the firm Catalist looks at what changed since 2016, but also at the parties’ coalitions overall.
www.vox.com www.vox.com

I think we already have a good idea with two previous elections which voter typically votes or does not vote for Trump.

The popular vote has been won by the Dems in all bar one election since 1992.

Now with the projected minority votes, for Trump to have any chance of winning he needs minimum 60% of the white vote. Which seems unlikely given typically just over half of white women don't vote for Trump.
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Tbh I still think it will be a very close election.

For a start I worry that people will say they will vote for a female president but when it comes to it won’t. With luck having more female candidates as Senators and Governors will have made people feel more comfortable voting for the current VP but we won’t know for sure until they do!
 
LinekersLegs said:
Tbh I still think it will be a very close election.

For a start I worry that people will say they will vote for a female president but when it comes to it won’t. With luck having more female candidates as Senators and Governors will have made people feel more comfortable voting for the current VP but we won’t know for sure until they do!
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The election will be close, I really think Kamala will get the most votes win or lose.

Which is a really stupid thing, but alas.
 
LinekersLegs said:
Tbh I still think it will be a very close election.

For a start I worry that people will say they will vote for a female president but when it comes to it won’t. With luck having more female candidates as Senators and Governors will have made people feel more comfortable voting for the current VP but we won’t know for sure until they do!
Click to expand...

….TV debate might be more significant than usual.
 
Wizard said:
New York is not going Republican whether RFK is involved or not.
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Recent polling shows that if Kennedy is in a state race he's sucking votes from Trump. If he's taken off the ballot in a lot more states then that plays against Harris.
 
Chewbacca said:
Sadly, we all have a dog in this fight as the US can completely screw over the entire planet.
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I accept that for Americans it's a big deal domestically, which is why there's a lot of jubilation among Democrat supporters at the moment on here due to the polls. To me it's two candidates who wont change the way business is done globally.
 
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