Current Affairs 2024 POTUS race

[davek]

Absolutely no idea, but could it propel a dullard candidate to the WH?

Charli xcx Thinks Kamala Harris Is ‘Brat.’ She May Be Right

Understanding the pop star's embrace of the candidate, and her campaign's adoption of the 'brat' aesthetic.

time.com

 

[davek]

With respect to the bolded, why?

Given what Trump's done since Kamala became the presumptive nominee, I seriously question whether Trump and his team have the smarts to defeat Kamala. All he's done is alienate even more voters. Simply bizarre "strategy"

Let's see where we are when more polling of the swing states are in. I suspect Harris's bounce wont last long.

 

[TN Toffee]

You wanted Biden gone.

This is what we are left with.

Will she win? Who knows, the cult of Trump is pretty strong, racism is rife and Orangino talks their language.

All we can do is pray.

About 250 million of us can vote.

 

[LinekersLegs]

 

[Wizard]

 

[LinekersLegs]

Let's see where we are when more polling of the swing states are in. I suspect Harris's bounce wont last long.

Trump should have got a bounce too - assassination attempt, convention and VP pick.

So we’ll see where things settle but everyone knows Trump and has strongly held views on him so little likely movement. A segment of voters don’t have strongly held views on Harris so more opportunity for chamge (both on upside and downside). She also has a convention and VP pick to come as likely poll bounces.

Trump campaign has started to run a lot of negative ads against her, she needs to try to counter that before peoples minds are set. The significant improvement in cash and volunteer numbers should help with that if they can ramp it up fast enough.

 

[LinekersLegs]

I think it's fair to say her value to the Democrats is that she's going to appeal to that demographic. The border issue will be a huge problem for her.

Similar to over here, the cost of living issue and immigration will dominate this election.

You forget about abortion and healthcare in general. The former is something you didn’t have to deal with.

Ohio just put in a 6 week abortion limit (before most women even know they are pregnant) with no exceptions for rape or incest.

 

[Rita_Poon]

Actually thought it was a decent ad. Will need to at least address the more independent audience who wants some substance on issues like the border, but there’s nothing wrong with getting something out that’s intended to keep momentum.

I saw it utilised the word 'fight' a few times, to claw back that aspect of the other sides push.

 

[Pittsburgh Footy]

"every single house has a Trump/Vance sign in front of it. Every one"

The guy even lies about nonsense like this.

 

[Pittsburgh Footy]

Trump should have got a bounce too - assassination attempt, convention and VP pick.

So we’ll see where things settle but everyone knows Trump and has strongly held views on him so little likely movement. A segment of voters don’t have strongly held views on Harris so more opportunity for chamge (both on upside and downside). She also has a convention and VP pick to come as likely poll bounces.

Trump campaign has started to run a lot of negative ads against her, she needs to try to counter that before peoples minds are set. The significant improvement in cash and volunteer numbers should help with that if they can ramp it up fast enough.

And Trump is doing absolutely nothing to appeal to Undecided voters

 

[carolinablue232]

Trump should have got a bounce too - assassination attempt, convention and VP pick.

So we’ll see where things settle but everyone knows Trump and has strongly held views on him so little likely movement. A segment of voters don’t have strongly held views on Harris so more opportunity for chamge (both on upside and downside). She also has a convention and VP pick to come as likely poll bounces.

Trump campaign has started to run a lot of negative ads against her, she needs to try to counter that before peoples minds are set. The significant improvement in cash and volunteer numbers should help with that if they can ramp it up fast enough.

Good sign. Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Michigan might be enough to get it done assuming states like Virginia hold. I think in that scenario she literally would hit it on the nose at 270, and it would be the one she gets from urban Nebraska that is the decider because Nebraska does it weird…

 

[carolinablue232]

And Trump is doing absolutely nothing to appeal to Undecided voters

He’s not going to change. Kamala could come out tomorrow and say that while she had border duties, her and Joe are two different people and she would’ve done xyz differently that he didn’t want to do. Same for prices. If she gets the messaging right, she should be able to swing it.

 

[LinekersLegs]

Good sign. Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Michigan might be enough to get it done assuming states like Virginia hold. I think in that scenario she literally would hit it on the nose at 270, and it would be the one she gets from urban Nebraska that is the decider because Nebraska does it weird…

She also has more options to win the EC


Might increase the likelihood of Roy Cooper as VP to try to get North Carolina.

 

[davek]

Trump should have got a bounce too - assassination attempt, convention and VP pick.

So we’ll see where things settle but everyone knows Trump and has strongly held views on him so little likely movement. A segment of voters don’t have strongly held views on Harris so more opportunity for chamge (both on upside and downside). She also has a convention and VP pick to come as likely poll bounces.

Trump campaign has started to run a lot of negative ads against her, she needs to try to counter that before peoples minds are set. The significant improvement in cash and volunteer numbers should help with that if they can ramp it up fast enough.

It'll tighten up a bit more in the next few weeks too, I suspect.

If you're a Democrat, though, you do wonder what happens when the novelty is over of Harris replacing Biden. Just running on a message that "if you dont vote for me you get Trump" wasn't working for Biden, so why would it work for Harris? Her lack of vision forced her to stand down once before when running for the Democratic nomination. Lacking vision is ok sometimes: the dullard Starmer presented none and got in here with a landslide. But the situation is different for Harris; she's pretty much the 'incumbent' and has to re-energise the electorate with a programme.

 

[LinekersLegs]

It'll tighten up a bit more in the next few weeks too, I suspect.

If you're a Democrat, though, you do wonder what happens when the novelty is over of Harris replacing Biden. Just running on a message that "if you dont vote for me you get Trump" wasn't working for Biden, so why would it work for Harris? Her lack of vision forced her to stand down once before when running for the Democratic nomination. Lacking vision is ok sometimes: the dullard Starmer presented none and got in here with a landslide. But the situation is different for Harris; she's pretty much the 'incumbent' and has to re-energise the electorate with a programme.

Early signs are that she isn’t going to be running exclusively on the “if you don’t vote for me you get Trump” but guess we’ll see.

Biden ran awful presidential campaigns, yes plural, prior to 2020 and that one was pretty ropey in the early stages too. Perhaps Harris has learnt lessons from her last one.

I’m going to enjoy the feeling that a Trump win might not be a cast iron certainty for at least a week before I indulge in doom mongering.