that'd be quite the plot twist even in this crazy season of USA
Current Affairs 2024 POTUS race
- Thread starter Ruairi77
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Never underestimate the circus that is right-wing America.
davek
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That's more complex than I thought it was!
I can see how Kennedy with his crackpot views might attract support away from Trump; but his family connections surely might tempt certain Democratic voters?
His family have come out strong against him.
The only Democratic voters he'll attract are the vaccine/covid denier ones (and there are a few)
President Joe Biden has overtaken his Republican challenger Donald Trump in three battleground states, according to polls five months before the presidential election.
In March, the incumbent and the former president won enough primary races to secure, respectively, the Democratic and Republican nominations in the 2024 presidential election. Polls have so far shown that the results will be tight as the pair are statistically tied in most surveys, or enjoying only marginal leads.
According to swing state polling by Florida Atlantic University (FAU) and Mainstreet Research, however, there are signs Biden is gaining ground in three key states.
Due to the U.S's Electoral College system, which awards each state a certain number of electoral votes based on population, battleground states will play a key role in determining the result of the election. A presidential candidate needs to secure 270 electoral votes for victory, and winning the national popular vote does not guarantee success. Surveys from those battleground states could be more telling than those of national polls.
www.newsweek.com
In March, the incumbent and the former president won enough primary races to secure, respectively, the Democratic and Republican nominations in the 2024 presidential election. Polls have so far shown that the results will be tight as the pair are statistically tied in most surveys, or enjoying only marginal leads.
According to swing state polling by Florida Atlantic University (FAU) and Mainstreet Research, however, there are signs Biden is gaining ground in three key states.
Due to the U.S's Electoral College system, which awards each state a certain number of electoral votes based on population, battleground states will play a key role in determining the result of the election. A presidential candidate needs to secure 270 electoral votes for victory, and winning the national popular vote does not guarantee success. Surveys from those battleground states could be more telling than those of national polls.
Joe Biden suddenly leads Donald Trump in multiple battleground states
The Democratic president is leading his Republican challenger in three key states ahead of the presidential election.
www.newsweek.com
This commentary from Byron Donalds apparently took place during a Trump Campaign black voter outreach event in Philadelphia.
Independent voters or swing voters are weird. I get it in most circumstances but when one of the candidates is a proven rapist/ habitual liar/ lunatic how can you be sat at home undecided who you’re voting for.President Joe Biden has overtaken his Republican challenger Donald Trump in three battleground states, according to polls five months before the presidential election.
In March, the incumbent and the former president won enough primary races to secure, respectively, the Democratic and Republican nominations in the 2024 presidential election. Polls have so far shown that the results will be tight as the pair are statistically tied in most surveys, or enjoying only marginal leads.
According to swing state polling by Florida Atlantic University (FAU) and Mainstreet Research, however, there are signs Biden is gaining ground in three key states.
Due to the U.S's Electoral College system, which awards each state a certain number of electoral votes based on population, battleground states will play a key role in determining the result of the election. A presidential candidate needs to secure 270 electoral votes for victory, and winning the national popular vote does not guarantee success. Surveys from those battleground states could be more telling than those of national polls.
Joe Biden suddenly leads Donald Trump in multiple battleground states
The Democratic president is leading his Republican challenger in three key states ahead of the presidential election.
davek
Player Valuation: £150m
Maybe.
I always thought it was too difficult to tell which party will be affected worst by a 3rd candidate (or more). It'll be crucial whomever they take votes off.
I'm more inclined to think he'd take more votes from Trump. A lot of Trump voters are just anti-establishment, anti-government, change things up, etc, etc.
No even moderately left leaning person takes RFK Jr seriously
Theres also the Qanon nut jobs who, i think, beleive Joe Kennedy (RFK jnr's uncle) is still alive and will eventually be the leader.
I actually think there's more chance of Cornell West taking more Biden votes than Kennedy. Not sure if he's on the ballot in any swing states yet.
I actually think there's more chance of Cornell West taking more Biden votes than Kennedy. Not sure if he's on the ballot in any swing states yet.
Martin Alvito
Player Valuation: £50m
The best available polling data suggest this is accurate. If the pollster adds all the third party candidates, this tends to be bad for Biden because West and Stein drain him harder than the magnitude of Trump's relatively larger bleed from RFK Jr.
The protest vote (on both sides) will render this election devilish to predict. Third party vote share tends not to track early polling well once strategic voting kicks in. How robust third parties will prove this time around is anyone's guess.
It's for this reason that Trump's continued legal woes, and his reaction to them, should benefit Biden among non-true believer MAGAs.
Although who knows any more
Martin Alvito
Player Valuation: £50m
That last is how I've felt for some time. The competing media narratives have become so divergent that it's hard to see how people flip after picking one. They do it, so it must be possible, but it would require repudiating a lot of priors.
davek
Player Valuation: £150m
A May Emerson poll found Trump widens his lead over Biden, from two points to five, with Kennedy, independent Cornel West and Green Party candidate Jill Stein in the mix. Kennedy received 6% support, while 10% of voters said they were undecided. The May Fox poll shows Trump’s lead increases two points with the three independents on the ballot. The Times/Siena/Inquirer survey found Kennedy draws votes from key Biden supporters. Kennedy has the support of just 10% of voters in six battleground states in a six-way contest, but support grows to 18% for voters between the ages of 18 and 29 and 14% for Hispanic voters. And the recent Harvard CAPS/Harris poll shows Trump’s five-point lead is unchanged with Kennedy on the ballot. Meanwhile, an April NBC pollfound Biden trailing Trump by two points in a head-to-head race, but beating him by two with Kennedy and other third-party candidates on the ballot.
Biden Vs. Trump 2024 Election Polls: Trump Still Leads In Latest Survey—But Conviction Hurt His Image
Trump and Biden remain virtually tied in many polls, but surveys that overlap with Trump's conviction shows it may hurt him.
www.forbes.com
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