Current Affairs 2022 French presidential election

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Feels like it gets closer every time, but the complacency and appeasement of the far right will continue right up until it actually happens, then people won't "believe it".

That is the big problem with that result - that whilst its entirely welcome she lost, most of the people in a position to change things will fundamentally and deliberately misunderstand why it happened and how to fix it.

By that I mean that its almost certainly the case that her status as alt-right is what has cost her the election, by (as happened with Trump in 2020) scaring enough of the electorate in a two-horse race to form a big enough bloc to stop her. The lesson should be that the next opponent of Macron has to come from outside the alt-right (so someone line Pecresse), as they'd not have the same bloc formed against them.

However the alt-right will (again, as happened in 2020) point to the show of support they got and insist that they are the legitimate rightist opposition now, and because they will refuse to back anyone else from the right and therefore prevent anyone from the right getting in, they force the rest of the right to back them or accept being out of power for years (again, as is happening in the US).

Meanwhile the centrists and non-Melenchon left want that alt-right suppression of the old right to happen as well, because they think it guarantees that their successful anti-Le Pen bloc will stay together (because they think the right will become so toxic that enough people will never vote for them, which is a profoundly dangerous position to take as we've all seen).

Hopefully Melenchon does well in the legislative elections and gets Macrons second term to be less dictatorial and confrontational with ordinary people.
 

Pistol-whipping by American standards - but then, we never see a candidate win two-thirds of presidential vote. The only presidents to clear the 60% bar in the 20th century were Harding, FDR (once), LBJ and Nixon (1972).

It's interesting just how fragmented French politics are. The second and third-choice presidential candidates came from parties possessing lower house seats in the single digits and teens, respectively. That might be normal if parliamentary members were selected by proportional representation, but they're not.

A runoff system makes that sort of thing more possible than first-past-the-post, but it's still unusual.
Hopefully Melenchon does well in the legislative elections and gets Macrons second term to be less dictatorial and confrontational with ordinary people.
I get the feeling that the parliamentary election will be the one that really matters. Having an outright majority in the lower house rendered Macron fairly bulletproof. If Macron has to form some sort of coalition government, he'll have to dial it back a bit.
 
Pistol-whipping by American standards - but then, we never see a candidate win two-thirds of presidential vote. The only presidents to clear the 60% bar in the 20th century were Harding, FDR (once), LBJ and Nixon (1972).

It's interesting just how fragmented French politics are. The second and third-choice presidential candidates came from parties possessing lower house seats in the single digits and teens, respectively. That might be normal if parliamentary members were selected by proportional representation, but they're not.

A runoff system makes that sort of thing more possible than first-past-the-post, but it's still unusual.

I get the feeling that the parliamentary election will be the one that really matters. Having an outright majority in the lower house rendered Macron fairly bulletproof. If Macron has to form some sort of coalition government, he'll have to dial it back a bit.
Reagan must have been close in ‘84.
Mondale only won Minnesota iirc.
 
Never forget, over 40% voted for a fascist in these elections. I'm not saying that the 40% are fascists, but they've been marginalised and pushed to a place where they think that's their only option.

It happened here with Brexit IMHO. People got so fed up they voted out because they were being promised something they weren't receiving from the mainstream parties.
 
Here we go this weekend, first round of the parliamentary elections.
We'll see if Macron supporters get enough seats to continue support for his reforms etc.
 
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