Current Affairs 2022 French presidential election

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Will be an interesting one for sure, looking forward to April already.



He has been being boosted for some time now; was there in September when BFM had a debate between Melenchon and him (which was a bit mad as he’d not declared then). Obviously there was that other modern right of passage for alt right types recently as well, a soft interview in the Spectator.

Hope he sinks without trace as he is even more of a scumbag than Trump is, but if he gets to the last two it might be on for him.

One would imagine in a straight fight vs Macron that he’d hoover up all Le Pen’s vote as well as a few people who’d never vote for Le Pen but would vote against Macron if they could.
 
Zemmour does have a lot of potential support in the Mediterranean départements and also the coastal ones in the hauts de France région.
think if he makes it to top 2, may as well win the whole thing.
 
It’s not a Muslim surname - IIRC he is Jewish, his family coming from Algeria
Algeria, gotcha. Sounds like a muslim name tbh. I heard the French over there (be it catholic or jew) have no problem adopting muslim surnames.
 
And so he should … excellent politician

Not sure that he is TBH. Like Blair and especially Cameron he is probably going to leave French politics in a far worse state than he found it.

Him being not especially competent (and more than a bit weird) whilst occupying what he insists is the centre ground just guarantees that any opponents are going to come from further to the sides, and increasingly this means the far right. The left are of interest only when it’s him vs a fascist and he needs them to protect France, apart from then they are extremist, weirdos and so on.

He has also legitimised the idea of fake politics too, representing as he does the attempt of the political class to survive the collapse of the traditional parties (collapses they were largely responsible for) by posing as a real popular movement for change. He is as real as Zemmour is in that respect.

Obviously they’ve always had the FN and it’s reimaginings but when you see Zemmour and what’s happening in LR too we are approaching the stage of a substantial % of the French electorate looking like they will be voting for candidates with policies that would have been (correctly) considered as fascist a decade ago. Meanwhile anyone who proposes saner policies even if they come from the right is going to be labelled traitor, lunatic, communist and all the rest, including by Macron himself.

We’ve already gone through this here and in the US, if it happens in France next it’s going to be a tragedy.

If it comes down to him vs Le Pen or Zemmour then I hope he wins, but I do fear (as I did when he went into the first election) that he will just be kicking the can further down the road and making things worse rather than doing anything substantial (like actually listening to the people and improving their lives) to prevent the rise of these horrors.
 
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