Current Affairs 2017 General Election

2017 general election

  • Lib Dems

    Votes: 24 6.5%
  • Labour

    Votes: 264 71.0%
  • Tories

    Votes: 41 11.0%
  • Cheese on the ballot paper

    Votes: 35 9.4%
  • SNP

    Votes: 4 1.1%
  • Plaid Cymru

    Votes: 4 1.1%

  • Total voters
    372
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Interestingly, if you look at the current trend in polling - the difference between Labour and the Tories will probably fall within the nominal range of error before June 8th.

I was really despondent about our chances when she called it, but Labour are really campaigning well on all fronts.

Not to completely dash your dreams, but a linear trend in elections never happens.

3 most recent polls:





 
I live in the South West and we lost our LD MP with a swing to the Tories of about 30% in 2015.

The sitting LD retired and had held the seat since '97. They bussed in a weak, non-local candidate and got obliterated.

The Tory vote share is now bigger than all the other parties combined by several thousand votes. It is depressing af.

Your constituency borders mine, can't believe the swing that they got last time, it's even worse than here! I think that was partly down to the backlash from tactical non Tory voters who voted lib dems in 2010, but they jumped into government with them anyhow.

Hopefully they will get a bit closer this time but you're right it is depressing.
 
The Tories are all over the place and have not fully thought through their bold new 'love' for the workers.

There is not enough workers to step in and do the jobs of those that will be allowed to take up to a year off to care for loved ones. This will lead to an increase in immigration as they are the workers that are recruited now to fill in the labour shortage in various sectors of the economy. Increasing the demand for labour with varying skills for the variety of jobs needed will also add not only red tape to employers but costs. It will also be debatable whether there are sufficient workers abroad who can fill the potential millions of jobs that would be needed to be covered. If this was a Labour or LibDem proposal it would be deemed a 'crackpot idea' that would burden employers with costs and red tape.

However, they better not have Mr Heappey anywhere near the public and recruiting workers.

"A Conservative candidate has apologised for telling a Scottish schoolgirl to “f... off” after she said she would vote for independence if there was a second referendum.

James Heappey, who is standing for re-election in Wells, made the remark during a debate with sixth-formers at the fee-paying Millfield school in Somerset.

Heappey said his comment was intended to be light-hearted and denied reports that he told the teenager to “f... off back to Scotland”.

In a statement he said: “I made a comment – intended only as a joke – but it was inappropriate and I am deeply sorry for any offence caused. I wrote to [the pupil] soon after the school brought her concerns to my attention and apologised unreservedly.”
 
Your constituency borders mine, can't believe the swing that they got last time, it's even worse than here! I think that was partly down to the backlash from tactical non Tory voters who voted lib dems in 2010, but they jumped into government with them anyhow.

Hopefully they will get a bit closer this time but you're right it is depressing.

Somerton & Frome was mainly due to David Heath retiring and like you say, the backlash against LD's going into coalition with the Tories. He was hugely popular locally and a fantastic constituency MP. He had the farming community on-side as well.

Don't wish to speak ill of the dead, but the guy they bussed in was a very weak candidate. Not local with a poor understanding of local issues, and he managed to piss the farmers off almost immediately by being a vocal opponent of the badger cull (even though he was correct).

Ashcroft also spent an utter fortune on the Tory campaign here, and the now MP rarely even mentioned that he was a Conservative. Their branding barely even appeared on any of his literature or on any of the stalls he had a local events. He's a Brexit supporter who has only voted against the party about once ever, although to his credit it was on the Dubs amendment.

It will be a long, long time before this constituency is de-Torified. 20,000 majority, I think it is. The LD vote share fell by 28%.
 
Your constituency borders mine, can't believe the swing that they got last time, it's even worse than here! I think that was partly down to the backlash from tactical non Tory voters who voted lib dems in 2010, but they jumped into government with them anyhow.

Hopefully they will get a bit closer this time but you're right it is depressing.
similarly bleak in my constituency in the south east. Has always traditionally been a Tory-Lab marginal but Lab got obliterated in 2015 and UKIP has just stood down to get behind the Tories. It's gonna be a Tory landslide again, possibly even bigger than 2015.
 
18485808_1159596654187135_5007768047321336220_n.jpg


lol
 
Yougov regional polls earlier had Labour ahead in London and the NE, level in NW, and behind the Tories in Scotland, Wales, SE, SW, E Mid, W Mid, Yorkshire/Humberside and the East. And the leads in London and the North East were drastically down on 2015. If the polling is even close to right then it will be under 160 seats for Labour. But I think it looked like fake news, way overstating the tory support.
 
The most recent poll, and so far most consistent still doesn't look good for the Tories.

Labour 50%, LibDems 10 %, Tories 0%, undecided 10%, wont be voting as they're all the same 30% (10% indicated that they are considering Labour). Still looks like a landslide for Labour.
 
BBC may have shown bias against Corbyn, says former trust chair
Sir Michael Lyons tells The World at One that he could understand people’s concerns about a loss of editorial impartiality



Sir Michael Lyons said there had been ‘some quite extraordinary attacks’ on Jeremy Corbyn, the Labour leader. Photograph: Stefan Rousseau/PA

Rowena Mason Political correspondent
Published:17:58 BST Thu 12 May 2016

Follow Rowena Mason

The BBC may have bowed to political pressure to show bias against Labour and Jeremy Corbyn, a former chair of the BBC Trust has said.

Sir Michael Lyons, who chaired the trust from 2007 to 2011 and is a former Labour councillor, claimed that there had been “some quite extraordinary attacks on the elected leader of the Labour party”.

He told the BBC’s The World at One: “I can understand why people are worried about whether some of the most senior editorial voices in the BBC have lost their impartiality on this.

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“All I’m voicing is the anxiety that has been expressed publicly by others … We had here a charter review process which has been littered with wild kites flown which, we can’t see the string is held by the secretary of state, but the suspicion is that actually it’s people very close to him.

“His own comments have suggested that he might be blessed by a future without the BBC. Is the BBC strong enough to withstand a challenge to its integrity and impartiality?”

Lyons said there were “very real suspicions that ministers want to get much closer to the BBC, and that is not in anybody’s interests”.

It comes after more than 35,000 people signed a petition calling for Laura Kuenssberg to be sacked as political editor of the BBC over accusations that she was biased against Corbyn. It was taken down by the organisers after some people used the petition to make sexist remarks about her.

Labour has complained about media bias against the party without singling out the BBC. Corbyn told grassroots supporters that it was necessary for Labour to use social media to communicate with the public, because rightwing media were censoring political debate in an unprecedented assault on the party.

Tony Hall, the BBC director general, also speaking to the The World at One, said Lyons’s claim was “extraordinary” and denied that there was any bias.

“That’s not the journalism I know or the journalists in this organisation I know,” he said. “I think the journalism of the BBC is impartial. We test all sides. The journalists in the BBC do a really hard job in the midst of controversy, bringing a light and calm judgments to what’s going on.”

The BBC gave no further comment.
 
BBC may have shown bias against Corbyn, says former trust chair
Sir Michael Lyons tells The World at One that he could understand people’s concerns about a loss of editorial impartiality



Sir Michael Lyons said there had been ‘some quite extraordinary attacks’ on Jeremy Corbyn, the Labour leader. Photograph: Stefan Rousseau/PA

Rowena Mason Political correspondent
Published:17:58 BST Thu 12 May 2016

Follow Rowena Mason

The BBC may have bowed to political pressure to show bias against Labour and Jeremy Corbyn, a former chair of the BBC Trust has said.

Sir Michael Lyons, who chaired the trust from 2007 to 2011 and is a former Labour councillor, claimed that there had been “some quite extraordinary attacks on the elected leader of the Labour party”.

He told the BBC’s The World at One: “I can understand why people are worried about whether some of the most senior editorial voices in the BBC have lost their impartiality on this.

AdvertisementHide

“All I’m voicing is the anxiety that has been expressed publicly by others … We had here a charter review process which has been littered with wild kites flown which, we can’t see the string is held by the secretary of state, but the suspicion is that actually it’s people very close to him.

“His own comments have suggested that he might be blessed by a future without the BBC. Is the BBC strong enough to withstand a challenge to its integrity and impartiality?”

Lyons said there were “very real suspicions that ministers want to get much closer to the BBC, and that is not in anybody’s interests”.

It comes after more than 35,000 people signed a petition calling for Laura Kuenssberg to be sacked as political editor of the BBC over accusations that she was biased against Corbyn. It was taken down by the organisers after some people used the petition to make sexist remarks about her.

Labour has complained about media bias against the party without singling out the BBC. Corbyn told grassroots supporters that it was necessary for Labour to use social media to communicate with the public, because rightwing media were censoring political debate in an unprecedented assault on the party.

Tony Hall, the BBC director general, also speaking to the The World at One, said Lyons’s claim was “extraordinary” and denied that there was any bias.

“That’s not the journalism I know or the journalists in this organisation I know,” he said. “I think the journalism of the BBC is impartial. We test all sides. The journalists in the BBC do a really hard job in the midst of controversy, bringing a light and calm judgments to what’s going on.”

The BBC gave no further comment.

Not just the BBC, even the majority of the PLP are showing bias against him........
 
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