Current Affairs Ukraine
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tsubaki
Player Valuation: £90m
those scumbags at the Daily Mail have ID'd that lad
Diogenes the Cynic
Player Valuation: £40m
Never letting personal and national security get in the way of a sensationalist story.
TheSouthernBlue
Player Valuation: £500k
I’m not surprised, two lads from my kickboxing group went over at the start (previous military experience). Some of the pics they send on WhatsApp are incredible. There are many over there, got to “scratch that itch”.
Yarrgh
Player Valuation: £80m
I have detected a shift too in reporting. Is it to gain support for further aid or to start to disentangle from the war? I wouldn’t be surprised if articles like this are being put out to gauge opinion in the general public of western countries.
From Russian media there's a definite push of an idea of western Ukraine being absorbed into Poland along the lines of historical borders. I think that this is an insidious way of removing claims on any captured lands and to have it broadly accepted by the international community. If Ukraine and Poland did merge would it be in NATO? This land grab would match up with the coastal lands up to Transnistra as openly speculated, but also would take the northern part with Kharkiv and Kiev. The northern part looking like it failed earlier on in the invasion.
Also as an aside, Kherson was put onto the Russian telephone network yesterday. They've been swapped over to the rouble and tv/radio for some time. The same as for the occupied areas of Donbas. Rebuilding is starting in these areas. These areas are now on the verge of being lost to Russia. I have no idea how this situation could be reversed.
Yeh, I saw this and thought it was a really strange thing to do. He and his family always looking over their shoulder from now on?!
I don't think rest of the Ukraine gonna fall, as that botched offensive against Kyiv showed, but i got no idea how could Ukraine recover their lost territory in the East and South militarily, outside total collapse of Russia.
Last few weeks it seems that Russians steadily advancing in the East, you could see how bleak is the situation when even Zelensky acknowledged it, but i recently watched Sky News military expert, and he also said that Russians again building their forces in the South in Kherson in preparation for renewed push toward Odesa, basically to cut Ukraine from the sea completely.
I think even with all weapons delivered, a lot of Western military experts understands that Ukrainian counter-offensive would be a impossible task, and article like this (also similar in New York Times) and even Kissinger stuff, could be gauging public interest in war
devogue
Player Valuation: £35m
Reports from today and yesterday that there is a ongoing counter offensive near Kherson. Not sure how big of an offensive but over the last few weeks Ukraine has been sending more soldiers and equipment to the South including a large amount of tanks.
I watched Sky News with their expert few days ago, he said opposite, that Russians are building more troops there and they gonna be possibly ready in a few weeks.
Considering that situation is quite tough in the moment in Donbas, with Russians attempting to encircle Ukrainian troops at Severdonetsk (20 000 are currently there), i doubt either side had enough forces to mount another large scale offensive in the South.
But who knows, quite hard to get accurate picture what is going on in the moment
D
Deleted member 48881
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D
Deleted member 48881
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May 28, 7:30pm ET
Russian President Vladimir Putin is inflicting unspeakable suffering on Ukrainians and demanding horrible sacrifices of his own people in an effort to seize a city that does not merit the cost, even for him.
The Russian invasion of Ukraine that aimed to seize and occupy the entire country has become a desperate and bloody offensive to capture a single city in the east while defending important but limited gains in the south and east. Ukraine has twice forced Putin to define down his military objectives. Ukraine defeated Russia in the Battle of Kyiv, forcing Putin to reduce his subsequent military objectives to seizing Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts in eastern Ukraine. Ukraine stopped him from achieving that aim as well, forcing him to focus on completing the seizure of Luhansk Oblast alone. Putin is now hurling men and munitions at the last remaining major population center in that oblast, Severodonetsk, as if taking it would win the war for the Kremlin. He is wrong. When the Battle of Severodonetsk ends, regardless of which side holds the city, the Russian offensive at the operational and strategic levels will likely have culminated, giving Ukraine the chance to restart its operational-level counteroffensives to push Russian forces back.
Russian forces are assaulting Severdonetsk even though they have not yet encircled it. They are making territorial gains and may succeed in taking the city and areas further west. The Ukrainian military is facing the most serious challenge it has encountered since the isolation of the Azovstal Plant in Mariupol and may well suffer a significant tactical defeat in the coming days if Severodonetsk falls, although such an outcome is by no means certain, and the Russian attacks may well stall again.
The Russians are paying a price for their current tactical success that is out of proportion to any real operational or strategic benefit they can hope to receive. Severodonetsk itself is important at this stage in the war primarily because it is the last significant population center in Luhansk Oblast that the Russians do not control. Seizing it will let Moscow declare that it has secured Luhansk Oblast fully but will give Russia no other significant military or economic benefit. This is especially true because Russian forces are destroying the city as they assault it and will control its rubble if they capture it. Taking Severodonetsk can open a Russian ground line of communication (GLOC) to support operations to the west, but the Russians have failed to secure much more advantageous GLOCs from Izyum partly because they have concentrated so much on Severodonetsk.
The Russians continue to make extremely limited progress in their efforts to gain control of the unoccupied areas of Donetsk Oblast, meanwhile. Russian troops have struggled to penetrate the pre-February 24 line of contact for weeks, while Russian offensive operations from Izyum to the south remain largely stalled. The seizure of Severodonetsk could only assist in the conquest of the rest of Donetsk Oblast if it gave the Russians momentum on which to build successive operations, but the Battle of Severdonetsk will most likely preclude continued large-scale Russian offensive operations.
Russian progress around Severdonetsk results largely from the fact that Moscow has concentrated forces, equipment, and materiel drawn from all other axes on this one objective. Russian troops have been unable to make progress on any other axes for weeks and have largely not even tried to do so. Ukrainian defenders have inflicted fearful casualties on the Russian attackers around Severodonetsk even so. Moscow will not be able to recoup large amounts of effective combat power even if it seizes Severdonetsk, because it is expending that combat power frivolously on taking the city.
Ukrainian forces are also suffering serious losses in the Battle of Severodonetsk, as are Ukrainian civilians and infrastructure. The Russians have concentrated a much higher proportion of their available offensive combat power to take Severodonetsk than the Ukrainians, however, shaping the attrition gradient generally in Kyiv’s favor. The Ukrainians continue to receive supplies and materiel from their allies as well, however slow and limited that flow may be. The Russians, in contrast, continue to manifest clear signs that they are burning through their available reserves of manpower and materiel with no reason to expect relief in the coming months.
There is indeed a major Uke counter-offensive underway in the Kherson Oblast. Reports that Ukraine has committed 2 Armoured brigades to the fight along with long-range precision guided arty and air support.
I wouldn’t expect too many reports coming out over the next week due to an increase in opsec.
Where have you seen about the two armoured brigades?
If true, they must have formed at least one new armoured brigade to participate, as they only have one of their four armoured brigades not fighting in Donbass (it is stationed near Odessa).
D
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Karolina Hird, Mason Clark, and George Barros
May 29, 5:30 pm ET
May 29, 5:30 pm ET
New reports confirmed that Ukrainian forces conducted a successful limited counterattack near the Kherson-Mykolaiv oblast border on May 28, forcing Russian forces onto the defensive. This Ukrainian counterattack is likely intended to disrupt Russian efforts to establish strong defensive positions along the Southern Axis. While the Ukrainian counterattack does not appear likely to retake substantial territory in the near term, it will likely disrupt Russian operations and potentially force Russia to deploy reinforcements to the Kherson region, which is predominantly held by sub-standard units. Ukrainian counterattacks may additionally slow Russian efforts to consolidate administrative control of occupied southern Ukraine.[1]
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