Current Affairs UK General Election July

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….my initial thought is if there’s no grubby deal being done, this is quite bad news for the Conservatives.

Think you've mistaken Conservatives with anyone who has to listen to rolling news coverage and won't be able to escape Farage gurning his way through the news "gingering up" the election.

I would think that with everything the UK has gone/is going/ will go through the one thing you would all agree on is wanting a quiet, boring election. But, you know, Nigel has to keep himself relevant.
 
Bizarre speech from Farage during which he claimed that Labour had already won the election. Seems to be that Reform felt that they were going nowhere with Tice and in order to get the boot into the Tories they needed Farage. So he was bribed with the leadership (and presumably consequently, a place on the TV debates) in which to construct a platform to oppose. All about immigration as usual were his principal policy comments.
 
Aren't the constituency borders changing substantially, in a way that doesn't favour him? I don't know the area of the country at all, but I've read that previously.
In fairness boundary changes aren’t something I considered.

But I stand by it. Tories aren’t going sub-100 and Rees mogg isn’t loosing his seat.
 
Farage: I'm not sure Reform can cut into the Tory base anymore than they had before his announcement. That looked to the bone already.

And if you're 'Labour' you'd just have wanted the status quo to continue in this election. Anything that happens now is unwelcome. Despite all the briefings to hacks about being 'secretly delighted' about the right vote split...they ARE on the right themselves, and Farage laying into both major parties in the next 4 weeks could shatter the hopes of a few 'Labour' aspirants in constituencies receptive to Reform on the immigration issue.

Probably though it changes nothing. Farage has had his day. He cant swing an election that's been pretty much in the bag for Starmer's crew for 18 months, and I doubt he'll persuade many more official Tories to vote for Reform.
 
In fairness boundary changes aren’t something I considered.

But I stand by it. Tories aren’t going sub-100 and Rees mogg isn’t loosing his seat.

That's fair enough. I wouldn't predict the opposite will happen, I'm just living in hope of some big scalps to really set their rebuild project back a bit after the election. If it's 4am on the Friday and I'm left disappointed that ghouls like Rees-Mogg have held on, ultimately it will still have been a great result for the country.
 

Careful now.

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