Farage: I'm not sure Reform can cut into the Tory base anymore than they had before his announcement. That looked to the bone already.
And if you're 'Labour' you'd just have wanted the status quo to continue in this election. Anything that happens now is unwelcome. Despite all the briefings to hacks about being 'secretly delighted' about the right vote split...they ARE on the right themselves, and Farage laying into both major parties in the next 4 weeks could shatter the hopes of a few 'Labour' aspirants in constituencies receptive to Reform on the immigration issue.
Probably though it changes nothing. Farage has had his day. He cant swing an election that's been pretty much in the bag for Starmer's crew for 18 months, and I doubt he'll persuade many more official Tories to vote for Reform.
….i suspect Farage will take a lot of the undecided and Conservative waiverers, he’s still a formidable politician without much opposition in the way of oratory and personality.
I can see Reform now taking Red Wall votes off Labour but I agree not enough to overturn the likely results. They could take enough Tory votes to allow Labour/Lib Dem into seats by the back door.

