Corbyn is anti EU. Always has been. But now he’s being told that they way to win is be a remainer. It couldn’t be more wrong. He is screwed whenever we have an election......
Yes he is. The reality is, the left critique of the EU has greatly reduced over time, for a number of different reasons really. Partly because the left has declined in influence and support over time, partly because New Labour in moving to the centre adopted the EU very centrally to within their programme. A new left is growing, but it looks quite different to the older more true union orientated left who were quite suited to a sort of one nation protectionism that dominated much of the anti-EU left agenda.
You could probably summarise the right as people who talk about Europe too much, but the left just haven't really spoken about Europe at all. I have friends who have no idea why Corbyn would even oppose the EU. That view Brexit as a sliding scale of right wing views, or at worst fascism. It's dangerous, but it's the dominant idea.
As for screwed at the election, I'll be frank I am not sure I can go along with such a conclusion, not because it is wrong but because the situation is so fluid currently that it's very hard to predict. Logically both the Conservatives and Labour ought to be dead.
Corbyn should have been finished in 2017 though. Massive attacks in all papers. Leadership challenge. 150 MP's against him. Radically different to the existing status quo. Personally hugely unpopular in terms of ratings. Managing a party in severe decline (who's European partners were going the same way). No experience of any kind of front line experience. A hugely inexperienced shadow cabinet. Just about everything you would not want in an election. Not only did he achieve Labour 2nd best performance in England/Wales in 50 odd years, he saw the biggest increase in votes in it's post war history. He also did this, largely in the 6 weeks of campaigning (as he lagged way behind).
I can provide no answer for that. All I would say, is that the guy is sort of a political teflon, that even when he looks completely done he seems to rally. I would be very cautious in writing him off, and suspect he thrives in such circumstances.
If I was advising him (which I'm not) you would say the key things he has to do, is get the question away from Brexit. The Liberal Democrats are doing him a massive favour if they insist on only propping up a Conservative coalition not a Labour one. So too would the Tories be in electing Johnson (who is unpopular amongst wavering Labour voters- he will likely push them back to Labour). I feared Gove and Stewart (for different reasons) in this contest, but Johnson/Hunt don't really worry me. Hunt comes across as a bit of a weirdo. Then again, I thought May would be strong, so sometimes all I know is what I don't know!