President Donald Trump picked up more Latino voters in several key battleground states than he won in 2016, according to results of a nationwide CNN exit poll.
The 'everyone I don't like is racist' button is starting to malfunction.
For the G.O.P., the future may look like Florida, which is growing less white but not much less conservative.
www.newyorker.com
But, in Tuesday night’s results, the imprint of class was, if anything, clearer than it had been four years ago. Voters without college degrees continued to slide toward Republicans, and those with them, toward Democrats: according to exit polls, Joe Biden won college-educated voters by thirteen points. In the Midwest, even union ties may have done little to tether non-college-educated voters to Democrats. According to exit polls in Ohio, voters in union households favored Trump by fourteen points; those in non-union households favored him by just eight.
...At the same time, in an interesting juxtaposition, a ballot measure that will raise Florida’s minimum wage to fifteen dollars an hour passed with more than sixty per cent of the vote, winning even in conservative Florida counties like Polk, Pasco, and Sumter. Not long ago, only socialists and trade-unionists were willing to get behind a fifteen-dollar-an-hour minimum wage. You could look at numbers like these and think all that remains is for Republican politicians to follow the lead of their voters.
This is why the 'Sanders would have lost by even more' arguments are so incoherent. Liberals, following their nice, orderly spectrum of left-centre-right, observe the mounting backlash against professional-class identity politics and conclude it also must mean voters are opposed to minimum wage hikes and medicare for all, too. So they ignore the mountain of data showing that these are overwhelmingly popular with voters of both parties, and determine that they need to campaign on incoherent, ideologically-radical and incoherent pro-market policy contortions like subsidised private insurance instead, because in their delusional logic this signals 'moderation' and 'centrism'.
It couldn't be further from the truth.
Left-wing policy ideas are overwhelmingly popular with swing Republican voters. Professional class liberal identity politics and wokeness oblige is extremely unpopular with working class voters, all Republican voters, and just about anyone without a college degree, which you effectively need at this point just to be able to determine what the proper etiquette around 'racism' even means. This is why the two most pointedly unwoke candidates ran away with it even in the Democratic primary. American voters hate liberals - but they do not regard Sanders as a liberal, which is why he is so popular with ordinary voters in both parties. The professional class which runs the Democratic Party observes this well-earned loathing and assumes it means voters must hate Sanders even more, since on their orderly but illusory spectrum he is the most 'liberal' of all. But this is wrong. What voters refer to when they say the hate liberals are people like Elizabeth Warren or Pete Buttigieg or, probably most of all, Kamala Harris, who the Democrats are now all but stuck with in 2024 despite being comprehensively and humiliatingly rejected even by her own party. In four years they will be utterly annihilated, and they will deserve it.
The future of American politics belongs to whoever figures out that the Red-Blue divide will be decisively bridged by a candidate promising left-wing economics and right-wing patriotism - and surprisingly strong showing but ultimate defeat of Donald Trump paves the way for Republicans who have already realised at exactly the same moment that the Democrats have doubled-down on the exceedingly unpopular obverse: condescending performative wokeness and professional class liberal sanctimony combined with a very deliberate rejection of overwhelmingly popular economic policies. Get ready for President Tucker Carlson in 2024.