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I think it’s just very, very difficult to find a sane candidate from the GOP these days. Additionally the Republican rebels have shown they will throw their doll out of the pram any time that a speaker tries to reach across the aisleSorry for repeating something I said when McCarthy was elected, but this is why I think the Dems should reach out to the least insane of the candidates with a plausible offer of support - something like a genuine attempt to deal with spending, reform of the house, continuing the Biden impeachment hearings and so on in exchange for sidelining the loons.
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I don't see who the Republicans can get 218 behind. That was the problem in the first place. A large portion of the conference will want Pelosi's rule (majority of the conference to remove the speaker) back, and won't support a candidate who will not make that rules change. The hard right will never support a candidate who will make that rules change.Sorry for repeating something I said when McCarthy was elected, but this is why I think the Dems should reach out to the least insane of the candidates with a plausible offer of support - something like a genuine attempt to deal with spending, reform of the house, continuing the Biden impeachment hearings and so on in exchange for sidelining the loons.
I think any candidate that would be prepared to make rules concessions with Jefferies would face a rebellion of even more of their caucus and a well funded hard right opponent in the upcoming primary.I don't see who the Republicans can get 218 behind. That was the problem in the first place. A large portion of the conference will want Pelosi's rule (majority of the conference to remove the speaker) back, and won't support a candidate who will not make that rules change. The hard right will never support a candidate who will make that rules change.
That leaves two paths forward. A candidate could pick up Democratic votes by making rules concessions. However, Jeffries is walking a tightrope. He wants maximum dysfunction that leaves the House unable to do much other than pass the Senate's appropriations bills. From a policy standpoint, the best way to get that is to force some rules concessions, but then the House looks functional and that may cost him at the ballot box next fall. Presumably, he calculated all that back in January and chose to hang McCarthy out to dry, so circumstances would have to change in a way that alters that calculation.
Alternately, the Republicans could take an expansive view of the powers of Patrick McHenry as interim speaker, arguing he has the ability to run the House. There's nothing in the rules package stopping him, but it would get awkward. He can't unmake members of Rules without a majority on the floor, and the control over Rules modern speakers possess dates to the Gingrich/DeLay alliance and fundraising prowess. McHenry isn't a star fundraiser, which will probably leave a lot of members vulnerable next fall. We've already seen Nancy Mace's response to that problem: attempt to get out in front of it by switching sides.
A majority of the House can also now block more or less anything McHenry tries to do the first time he tries it. The lone exception is overseeing the election of the next speaker. The only certainty is that absolutely no one knows what's coming next. We're in uncharted waters, which are likely to get choppy.
There is no way Trump tempramentaly would be able to handle the workload of a Speaker, even without the trials/campaigning.
However looks like he might flirt with the idea for a time if only to sow more chaos, shutdown the government and get attention.
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