I was a remainer mate, but it looks like those predicting Armageddon if we voted to leave the EU look a tad foolish at this moment in time.
Here's the thing I guess. Structurally the UK has been a fantastic place to have a business for some time now. It's no coincidence that we've been high up in the annual WIPO/INSEAD conditions for innovation study for a few years, and indeed were rated the 2nd best country in the world for that in the 2016 edition. That's great.
Here comes the but. A lot of those conditions for success are rather uncertain at the moment. We don't know, for instance, what kind of environment for attracting bright students to our universities will be, nor the funding situation for research. We don't know what the passporting situation will be for finance, nor how the life science sector will adapt when the European Medicines Agency relocates from its current London base. Indeed, there are quite substantial EU venture capital funds that will be distinctly uncertain, as will the abilities of Google et al to attract people to work for them. Of course, they may take what we have and make them even better (I would wager that's unlikely given the mandate given via the Leave vote, but you never know), but right now, we simply don't know.
So that's one end of the spectrum and a good deal of don't knows until the process is much further along. The other thing to consider of course is that very few of these corporate investments will be made in the kind of places where leave votes dominated. Google expanding its offices will be great for the already thriving King's Cross area, but it's unlikely to help Boston, Lincolnshire a great deal, and we're regularly told that Brexit is part of a wider process to reinvigorate these kind of places where a lot of people feel left behind by globalisation. I'm not sure we're any clearer yet on just how it will achieve that.