Has anyone considered how we actually go about trading under WHO terms in the event of leaving the single market?
There seems to be an assumption that we just pick up a default set of terms and everyone is happy. But that’s not the case. In order to trade under WTO, we firstly have to leave the EU (and by default the EU/WHO terms) and then negotiate our own independent terms. The concern here is the length of time this will take after leaving the EU. There’s no precedent for a country extricating itself from an economic union whilst a member of the WHO. The WHO’s Director General forecasts it will take a minimum of two years to put such arrangements in place.
The greatest areas of difficulty is likely to be in farming both in terms of setting up tariffs but also in the negotiation of quotas – a scheme that allows a certain amount of agricultural produce to move at lower tariffs. This will almost certainly be the largest area of bilateral negotiations. Secondly there is the issue of farm subsidies – a reduction in subsidies might make the tariff and quota arrangements easier to negotiate but would damage the incomes of British Farmers.
Services are probably the biggest area of concern given its importance to the UK economy (we are the world’s 3rd largest exporter of services). The process of creating WTO service agreements has been described as “an excruciating legal process”. For example it took over 5 years to integrate Bulgaria and Romania who have far less advanced and significant service offerings than the UK.
And before the usual calls of scaremongering are made, it's not, it's a reflection of the difficulties the UK will face after they have negotiated Brexit.