Current Affairs EU In or Out

[roydo]

I have moved on then other posters not even in the debate went back and yellow fingered me on older post ...
As I stated I was not coming on this thread today as the Brexit news is deadlocked ....
The rest is history unfortunately...

Christ mate. Like I said, we have dealt with it. Dealt with little else this afternoon.

 

[Moomin]

I can't see them agreeing a deal.

Then again, crazier things have happened

 

[Jebus_lives]

Nope - many moons ago I wrote a paper on this (that was presented in Russia.. with hindsight they might have been pooling research) that showed that social media was a particularly poor tool for looking into voting intentions.

The problems are threefold- firstly social media has a liberal/left wing bias in that those more politically towards the left are more likely to use it (will be exceptions obviously) so left wing belief/support will seem more prevalent.

Secondly the ease of which that bots/sock puppets can be set up means that something can seem far more popular of an idea than it is. I could create a post saying ‘let’s castrate Jebus in the town square tonight!’ Then get a thousand sock puppet accounts to like it. That makes that post look mega popular - and with the way that algorithms work it’s more likely to be seen.

Thirdly, the ‘shy Tory’ notion is in full effect, linked to the first point, if someone has a point that goes against the social media concensus then it likely won’t be posted. That missing post therefore doesn’t get counted. Plus do people always tell the truth on social media?

In short, social media is a laughable bad way of polling opinion. During the Cameron/Milliband debates one outlet used sentiment analysis to gauge public opinion pulled from Twitter. According to it Cameron got slated - when you actually pulled the data and looked at it, some young lad called Cameron from London was getting pelters from his GF on Twitter at the time - so her not being happy with her bf was somehow indicative of dislike for David Cameron.

Better days in a way.

I had read some research papers that suggested it had been useful in the predictions of Trump and Brexit.

I personally hold the opinion that it is limited as you have suggested, but couldn't find much evidence to the contrary, so it's helpful to get some actual knowledgeable analysis on the matter. I can't find the actual study, but it was from a similar sort of time to this Economist article

Where polling failed, Facebook prevailed

How Facebook-interest statistics could have improved presidential polling

www.economist.com

 

[Jebus_lives]

https://www.telegraph.co

.


Don’t bet on it......

Good linking Pete

 

[tommye]

I have moved on then other posters not even in the debate went back and yellow fingered me on older post ...
As I stated I was not coming on this thread today as the Brexit news is deadlocked ....
The rest is history unfortunately...

Shut up Joey ye loonball xx

 

[Jebus_lives]

No mate. It's by far the worst.


But it's also addictive.

Easily the best.

 

[Jebus_lives]

 

[dandydan]

Not gonna lie, I'm only here for joeys meltdown now.

 

[Ruairi77]

Not gonna lie, I'm only here for joeys meltdown now.

alt right wum

 

[dandydan]

alt right wum

Alt rightlol

 

[Ruairi77]

Alt rightlol

if you dont want to be classed as alt right, change your avatar.

 

[dandydan]

if you dont want to be classed as alt right, change your avatar.

Classed as something that doesn't exist?

 

[Ruairi77]

Classed as something that doesn't exist?

what? there's no such thing as alt right?
not the thread for this discussion, infact I don't want to engage with anyone with an alt right avatar.

 

[dandydan]

what? there's no such thing as alt right?
not the thread for this discussion, infact I don't want to engage with anyone with an alt right avatar.

There really isn't it's a term made up by the media.

 

[ilikecheese]

There really isn't it's a term made up by the media.

It's a shortened version of Richard Spencer's "The Alternative Right" originally used by right wing extremists on 4chan.