It’s a pincer movement. May is saying she will not put a hard border in and is being reasonable. The EU and Germany are telling Varadkar there will be a hard border if there is no deal and therefore putting pressure on him to drop ‘the backstop’. It will all come together now. No one will lose face but the ‘backstop’ will be quietly dropped and a legal definition will be put in place.....job done, Deal done......
Nope. The EU haven't budged on this and are still full square behind the Irish government, awaiting to hear what exactly May's "alternative arrangements" are.
Mrs May said: "
I'm not proposing to persuade people to accept a deal that doesn't contain that insurance policy for the future." So she is going to retain the backstop, as she knows she has to, but will call it something else. The EU will agree to tweaking a few words here and there but the principle of the backstop will remain.
Can't see hardline Brexiteers buying it myself but then again they were only using it as an excuse anyway to scupper her deal. If it isn't the backstop they will find something else which they consider to be unacceptable.
This is all about her keeping her party together and keeping the support of the DUP. If she moved her 'red lines' and agreed to Labour's proposal to stay in the Customs Union this could all be sorted tomorrow. But because she won't do that a no deal Brexit remains the likeliest outcome.